Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,553,252.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading the favorite
A proven sharp bettor with an 80% win rate sold No in a major soccer market, which translates to buying Aston Villa Yes around 21¢ despite heavy recent movement.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $16.4k across 92 resolved bets
- Their sale of No at 79¢ is effectively a buy on Aston Villa Yes at 21¢
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a deliberate value bet than random noise
$1,307 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cross-market fade
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% hit rate is fading an extreme move by selling No, which translates to buying Aston Villa Yes around 21¢ after a sharp market swing.
- This bettor has 1,742 resolved trades with a 72% win rate across 51 events
- They sold No at 79¢, which means the copyable side is Aston Villa Yes at 21¢
- The market has swung hard this week, so this trade looks like a fade of an overextended move
$1,466 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
82% win-rate sports bettor
An 82% win-rate serial cross-market bettor reopened and added a winning Aston Villa position before a sharp move from 75¢ to 94¢, suggesting a strong read despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 304 resolved trades and is up more than $50k lifetime
- They bought Yes at 75¢ and the market quickly moved to 94¢, locking in a strong mark-to-market gain
- This wallet regularly bets across related sports markets, with 35 events and 61 markets tracked
$1,169 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
4-wallet Villa surge
A 4-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Aston Villa Yes during a sharp 26-point price jump, and one wallet in the group has a strong long-term winning record with $5.4M in profits.
- Four wallets all bought Aston Villa Yes for $7.4k as the price jumped from 47¢ to 74¢
- One wallet in the cluster wins 73% of 2,883 resolved bets and is up $5.4M lifetime
- The move came with a 26-point market breakout, which adds momentum confirmation to the buying
$7,355 on Yes
Profitable contrarian sports bettor
A profitable cross-market sports trader with a solid 68% hit rate bought No right after a sharp 25-point move, taking the contrarian side at 29¢ in a very active market.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $95.5k on $314k invested
- They bought No at 29¢ after a sharp 25-point move, suggesting they saw value on the other side of the surge
- The pick fits a broad repeatable approach across 84 events and 97 markets, not a one-off bet
$4,750 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp wallet leads surge
A 4-wallet one-sided move bought Aston Villa Yes around 46-52¢ before the market jumped to 72%, led by a wallet with a 94% win rate across 322 resolved bets.
- A bettor who wins 94% of their trades led this move, with $57.8k profit across 322 resolved bets
- Three wallets bought Yes at 46-52¢ and the market is now 72%, so they caught a 20-26 point jump
- This market is very active and moved fast, with Aston Villa up 17 points in a day and 18 points in under 4 minutes
$6,059 on Yes
Sharp cluster hit No early
A profitable serial cross-market trader bought No at 48¢ before a sharp move to 28¢, and two other wallets piled into the same side for coordinated downside conviction.
- This bettor has won 68% of 66 resolved markets and is up about $95,510 overall
- Three wallets all bought No for $6,302 total, showing shared conviction on the same side
- The trade got 48¢ on No and that price has already moved to 28¢, a fast 20-point swing
$1,611 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
73% winner bought No
A high-volume serial cross-market winner with a 73% hit rate bought No before a sharp move, alongside two other wallets betting the same side.
- This bettor wins 73% of 654 resolved trades and is up $339k lifetime
- Three wallets all bought No, and this wallet entered at 54¢ before No moved to 72¢
- The move came in a very active market, suggesting strong conviction rather than a random small bet
$1,972 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
94% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate bought into a fast-moving sports market, making this a modest but notable sharp-bettor signal despite the small size.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up nearly $58k on $223k invested
- They bought during a rapid 18-point move in just under 4 minutes, suggesting strong conviction
- The entry was 52¢ on a major soccer market with heavy volume, so this looks like a real directional bet
$1,802 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable new wallet, last-minute buy
A highly active new wallet with early seven-figure profits made a $33k live-sports bet one minute before resolution, alongside three other wallets on the same side and with a sharp short-term price move.
- This 11-day-old wallet is already up $1.07M and has won all 4 of its resolved bets.
- It bought $33.2k of Yes just 1 minute before resolution, a pattern that can signal a real-time edge in live sports.
- Four wallets piled into the same side for $44.5k total, and the Yes price jumped 17 points during the move.
$33,156 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 40349534, $110,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 40349534, $50,136 (93% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 40349534, $48,964 (65% win rate)
- 0xbe87...6fc0 — Outcome 40349534, $36,168 (87% win rate)
- 0x1350...0841 — Outcome 40349534, $27,050 (86% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 40349534, $25,000 (96% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 40349534, $23,963 (86% win rate)
- 0xd267...9dc6 — Outcome 40349534, $21,500 (69% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 40349534, $20,763 (64% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 40349534, $17,021 (80% win rate)
