This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime. Their average winning entry is near 50¢, so this is not just a record built on heavy favorites. They bought Under at 54¢ in a liquid market, implying confidence against the recent move toward Over.

Part of: Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets

Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,568.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Profitable soccer sharp

Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Under at 52¢ before the market moved to 70¢, backed by a 77% record and strong lifetime profit.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $40.7K lifetime.
They bought Under at 52¢, and the market has already moved to 70¢ in their favor.
Their past wins came at 35¢ average odds, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced bets.

$1,961 on Under | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under at 50¢ before the market moved to 70¢, showing a strong track record and well-timed entry.

This bettor has won 72% of 399 resolved bets and is up $350k lifetime.
They have traded across 124 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off guess.
They bought Under at 50¢ before it moved to 70¢, indicating strong timing on this market.

$1,151 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp sports bettor

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a strong 78% record over 91 resolved bets and meaningful positive lifetime P&L despite the modest trade size and liquid market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime.
Their average winning entry is near 50¢, so this is not just a record built on heavy favorites.
They bought Under at 54¢ in a liquid market, implying confidence against the recent move toward Over.

$1,305 on Under | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp cluster buying Under

A three-wallet cluster is buying Under for $26.8k, including profitable sports bettors with strong records and a 30x pre-event volume spike.

A bettor in this cluster wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $40.7k lifetime.
Three wallets put $26.8k on Under, including another bettor up $348.5k across 399 resolved positions.
Market volume spiked 30x before kickoff, and the current 50¢ price is better than the largest wallet’s 59¢ entry.

$26,834 on Under

90% sports winner buys Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Over at 56¢ in a relatively quiet totals market.

This bettor has won 27 of 30 resolved trades and is up $1,587 lifetime.
Their $1.3k Over buy is about half of this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction.
The market has already moved 15 points toward Over this week, and they are still buying at 56¢.

$1,317 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 67238095, $68,860 (57% win rate)
0xd9c4...6f95 — Outcome 67238095, $30,134 (47% win rate)
0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 67238095, $13,542 (64% win rate)
0x1171...98dc — Outcome 67238095, $7,960 (95% win rate)
0x61e8...b283 — Outcome 67238095, $4,000 (88% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 67238095, $2,612 (91% win rate)
0xd181...5136 — Outcome 67238095, $2,400 (94% win rate)
0x40d0...4415 — Outcome 67238095, $2,368 (92% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 67238095, $1,544 (65% win rate)
0x8f1c...5f43 — Outcome 67238095, $1,121

Related Theses

Austria won't win June 27

Covers 1 related market

Brighton United under 4.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Shimizu Gamba stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Ajax Utrecht stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Chengdu Shandong stays low scoring

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City Villa under 3.5 goals

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Kashiwa Kyoto stay low-scoring

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Peru Spain stay low-scoring

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Concepción-Calera stays under 2.5

Covers 1 related market

Millonarios O'Higgins stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

ResolvedManchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets$32,568 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for May 24 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and Aston Villa FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.