Part of: Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu

Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Claire Liu in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $77,691.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Stoiana buying surge

Three wallets deployed $65,233 into Mary Stoiana during a 659.9x volume spike, driving a major repricing despite mixed and imperfect wallet track records.

Three wallets bought $65,233 of Mary Stoiana during a 659.9x historical volume spike.
Mary Stoiana repriced sharply upward, with current odds around 74% versus several entries between 47¢ and 62¢.
The flow includes a wallet adding to a large existing Mary Stoiana position, though some participants have opposing Claire Liu exposure and no strong proven win-rate edge.

$65,233 on Mary Stoiana

91% win-rate bettor backs Mary

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge bought Mary Stoiana amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price rise.

This bettor has won 91% of 372 resolved positions and is up nearly $947,000.
They bought $4,080 of Mary Stoiana at 80¢, while the market has since risen to 84%.
Trading volume surged to 358 times its historical average, reinforcing the directional move toward Mary Stoiana.

$4,080 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor backs Stoiana

A highly profitable tennis-market trader with an 81% win rate and substantial edge bought Mary Stoiana at 72%, before the price rose to 76%.

This bettor has won 81% of 2,747 resolved trades and is up $6.37 million.
The $5,753 buy at 72¢ has already moved to 76%, indicating strong early positioning.
The wallet trades across 820 markets and 782 events, providing a substantial record beyond this single match.

$5,753 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor exits Claire Liu

A proven 82% bettor with substantial edge exited Claire Liu as a sharp price move and volume spike favored Mary Stoiana, though the trade appears to be position management rather than a fresh entry.

This bettor has won 82% of 114 resolved trades and is up $120,875.
The $1,085 Claire Liu sale coincided with a 16-point price drop and an unusually large volume spike.
The wallet previously held Claire Liu at 57¢, so this is likely profit-taking or a bearish exit rather than a new position.

$1,085 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 84%

90% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,540 bet on Mary Stoiana.

This bettor has won 90% of 2,611 resolved trades and is up $406,410 lifetime.
They have traded across 184 events and 210 markets, suggesting broad and repeatable experience rather than a one-off position.
The fresh $1,540 entry on Mary Stoiana at 65¢ implies meaningful conviction despite the current price sitting near 62¢.

$1,540 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 90%