Part of: Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,829.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate sports bettor

A very high-win-rate serial sports trader bought Heroic at 79¢ shortly before a sharp move to 98%, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,272 resolved markets and has traded nearly $974k across 249 events
  • They bought Heroic at 79¢ and the market quickly moved to 98¢, a strong sign their timing was right
  • The bet size is modest, but the track record and immediate 19-point move make this trade worth studying

$1,218 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 92%

42-0 esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 42-for-42 resolved record and strong cross-market history is buying Tundra at 74¢, making this a follow-worthy sports trade despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 42 resolved markets and is up about $182k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 35 markets in 29 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Tundra at 74¢ while the market now sits around 76¢, showing fresh conviction from a proven winner.

$1,579 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 90%

42-0 sharp bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a perfect 42-for-42 resolved record bought Tundra at 67¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 42 resolved trades and is up $182k overall
  • They trade across 34 markets in 29 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Tundra at 67¢, a price that still sat near the market ask in a liquid market

$1,594 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable esports thesis trader

A proven high-volume bettor with 875 resolved markets and $539k profit bought Heroic at 43¢ across multiple related markets, and the line has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 875 resolved markets and is up about $539k lifetime.
  • They bought Heroic at 43¢ as part of a 3-market event thesis, and Heroic is now 32¢ after a fast 11.5-point move.
  • The entry was well above the current 32¢ price, suggesting this was a timely bet rather than routine flow.

$1,522 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 70%

Hot new wallet buys dip

A 1-day-old wallet with six straight wins and $262k in profit bought Heroic at 36¢ after a fast 11.5-point drop, making this a credible sharp contrarian sports entry despite the modest ticket size.

  • This 1-day-old wallet is 6 for 6 on resolved bets and already up $262k.
  • It has made 71 flagged bets totaling $659k, so this looks like an active sharp bettor rather than a random new account.
  • Bought Heroic at 36¢ right after a fast 11.5-point price drop, suggesting they saw value in the selloff.

$981 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 94%

Aggressive new wallet buyer

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 15 large flagged bets totaling over $40k and is now buying Tundra despite the market being active and recently moving lower, making this a notable new-wallet conviction signal.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already made 15 large flagged bets totaling $40k+
  • They bought Tundra at 66¢ even after the market fell 11% in the last day
  • The wallet is betting across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader event view

$1,602 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 52%

3-wallet Tundra pile-in

Three wallets with a history of broad cross-market activity piled into Tundra at 50-51¢ in a tight, liquid market, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random flow.

  • Three wallets bought Tundra within 4 minutes, putting nearly $4.0k on the same side at 50-51¢.
  • One wallet stands out with a 71% win rate and $6.2k profit, while the group has traded 28 markets across 26 events.
  • They entered at even odds in a market with a 1¢ spread, suggesting a clean directional bet rather than chasing a bad fill.

$3,985 on Tundra Esports

Profitable new whale on underdog

A 1-day-old wallet with $226k profit and heavy repeat activity just made another sizeable underdog bet, suggesting strong conviction despite limited resolved history.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 59 times for $647k of betting and is up $226k.
  • They bought Heroic at 24¢, a clear underdog price that implies they see outsized upside.
  • The bet is nearly $4.9k, showing real conviction even in a fairly liquid match market.

$4,886 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven esports sharp buys underdog

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 75% win rate and $254k profit is taking a contrarian position on Heroic at 24¢ after a sharp move toward Tundra.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 776 bets and is up about $254k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events — 100 markets in 94 events for $256k total — which points to a repeatable edge
  • Bought Heroic at 24¢ after this market moved 22 points in a day, suggesting they see the underdog as mispriced

$1,051 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 47%

90% win-rate bettor

A wallet with an exceptional 90% win rate and strong edge is buying Tundra at 77¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $19.5k across 31 resolved positions.
  • They bought Tundra at 77¢, suggesting they still see value even after the market moved up 24 points in a day.
  • The bet size is modest, but the track record is strong enough to make this worth following.

$1,529 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 27714218, $16,896 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x8681...ef99 Outcome 27714218, $6,952 (91% win rate)
  3. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 27714218, $6,159 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x886e...afd6 Outcome 27714218, $4,843 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 27714218, $4,000 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x115d...1691 Outcome 27714218, $2,850
  7. 0x70c1...dba0 Outcome 27714218, $2,000 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 27714218, $2,000 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x3763...345f Outcome 27714218, $1,984 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x7c1b...f0f9 Outcome 27714218, $1,742

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$25,829 tracked13 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Tundra Esports and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Tundra Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,218 on Heroic at 79¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,579 on Tundra Esports at 74¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,594 on Tundra Esports at 67¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,522 on Heroic at 43¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$981 on Heroic at 36¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,602 on Tundra Esports at 66¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$3,985 on Tundra Esports at 51¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$4,886 on Heroic at 24¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,051 on Heroic at 24¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

32d ago

$1,529 on Tundra Esports at 77¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

33d ago

$978 on Heroic at 25¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

33d ago

$1,271 on Heroic at 25¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

33d ago

$3,633 on Tundra Esports at 75¢

Related Theses