Part of: Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch
This Polymarket covers the Paris tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Tamara Korpatsch, scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 21, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $2,857 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp wallets and high-win-rate traders backing the underdog.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,772.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor caught odds move
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Alina Charaeva at 55¢ ahead of a sharp move to 66¢, suggesting timely tennis line-reading despite only price-impact signals.
- This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across a very large betting history.
- They bought Alina at 55¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
- The price has jumped 15 points today, confirming strong momentum behind the trade.
$1,360 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 56%
99.8% winner fading favorite
Despite a weak standalone price-impact signal, the trade is worth surfacing because the wallet has an exceptional resolved record and is fading Alina via an equivalent Tamara buy.
- This bettor has 1,999 wins against just 4 losses and is up $11k lifetime.
- The sell on Alina is equivalent to buying Tamara around 50¢.
- The trade came during a fast 12-point drop in Alina over about 3 minutes.
$1,497 on Tamara Korpatsch | Wallet win rate: 100%
99% win-rate tennis sharp
Surfaced because this is a proven high-volume sports trader with a 99% resolved-bet win rate making a contrarian sell of the heavy favorite.
- This bettor has won 99% of 5,505 resolved bets and is up $75.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 783 markets with $14.3M invested.
- Selling Charaeva at 64¢ is equivalent to backing Korpatsch at 36¢, a contrarian bet against the current 88% favorite.
$1,280 on Tamara Korpatsch | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active profitable sports trader bought Alina Charaeva at 44¢ before a sharp move to 62¢, suggesting they caught a meaningful line shift.
- This bettor is up $2.4M across 28,570 resolved bets.
- They bought Alina at 44¢ before the market moved to 62¢.
- This wallet has traded 1,489 events, suggesting a systematic sports-betting edge.
$1,344 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor bought Tamara Korpatsch at 43¢ before the price moved to 50¢, giving the trade some follow-worthy momentum despite modest size.
- This bettor has made over 28,000 resolved trades and is up about $2.4M lifetime.
- They bought Tamara Korpatsch at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 50¢.
- This wallet is a very active cross-market trader, with activity across 1,488 events.
$2,876 on Tamara Korpatsch | Wallet win rate: 56%
73% winner, massive history
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive resolved history bought Tamara Korpatsch, despite the price moving against their entry.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $8.6M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $14.2M deployed across 1,860 markets.
- They bought nearly $5K of Tamara at 59¢, and the current 52¢ price is below their entry.
$4,958 on Tamara Korpatsch | Wallet win rate: 72%
$8.6M sharp flips sides
Very high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% record and $8.6M profit is buying Alina after previously closing the opposite side, though stake size is modest versus market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 73% of 5,465 resolved bets and is up $8.6M lifetime.
- They are a massive serial sports trader, with $14.2M tracked across 1,860 markets.
- They previously closed a Tamara position and are now buying Alina at 53¢, suggesting a fresh side change.
$2,637 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 72%
$8.6M-profit serial trader
Elite high-volume tennis/sports wallet with 73% wins and $8.6M profit is buying Alina Charaeva amid a major pre-match volume surge and sharp recent price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 5,464 resolved bets and is up $8.6M lifetime.
- They are a massive serial cross-market trader, with $14.2M tracked across 1,860 markets.
- The market saw a 59.6x pre-event volume spike and Alina is up 31.5 points over the last day.
$1,201 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 72%
87% winner buying underdog
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and nearly $99k profit bought Tamara Korpatsch at 41%, already ahead of the current 46% market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $98.6k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports market trader across 60 events with the same 87% hit rate.
- Entry at 41¢ is already beating the current 46¢ market price.
$2,156 on Tamara Korpatsch | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp wallets backing underdog
Three wallets are buying Tamara Korpatsch, led by a proven 87% sports bettor and another highly profitable serial trader.
- A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $98.6K joined this side.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog for $5.1K, including a trader up $8.6M lifetime.
- They paid 33–43¢ while the market is now around 36¢, offering a similar or better entry.
$5,139 on Tamara Korpatsch
Top Holders
- 0x2ce8...4527 — Outcome 29077068, $34,845 (80% win rate)
- 0x1ef5...dc05 — Outcome 29077068, $5,268 (88% win rate)
- 0xfac7...78eb — Outcome 29077068, $3,022 (71% win rate)
- 0x16db...8d0f — Outcome 29077068, $2,109 (88% win rate)
- 0x6715...5085 — Outcome 29077068, $1,961 (100% win rate)
- 0xf8b5...1bcf — Outcome 29077068, $1,083
- 0xc34b...f099 — Outcome 29077068, $1,000
- 0x54f6...7056 — Outcome 29077068, $1,000
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 29077068, $928 (64% win rate)
- 0x6cf0...4972 — Outcome 29077068, $400
