Part of: Portugal vs. DR Congo - More Markets

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

This prediction market covers whether Portugal will beat DR Congo by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup game scheduled for June 17 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to Portugal if they cover the -1.5 spread, and to DR Congo if Portugal win by 1, draw, or lose; PolySpotter is tracking $1,621 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 17 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DR Congo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $172,007.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 78% historical win rate and $39.5k profit is buying Portugal -1.5 at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $39.5k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 185 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports process.
  • Entry at 51¢ implies they see Portugal winning by 2+ goals as better than a coin flip.

$1,621 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 78%

Event-wide volume surge

Event-wide volume spike plus a six-market cross-market position makes this DR Congo spread buy worth monitoring, though the wallet’s long-term record is not strong.

  • Volume has surged 865x above the market’s historical average ahead of the game.
  • This wallet has built a $22.9k position across 6 related markets, suggesting a broader event thesis.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they are taking the even-money side on DR Congo +1.5.

$1,163 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 54%

New repeat whale on underdog

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor bought DR Congo in a quiet spread market with a trade nearly 8x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $201k.
  • The $3.6k buy is nearly 8x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
  • Entry at 49¢ means the bettor is backing DR Congo to keep Portugal within one goal or better.

$92,243 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp five-wallet sports cluster

Five wallets, including multiple highly profitable sports/cross-market traders, bought $73k of Portugal -1.5 at 51¢ during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor up $3.2M lifetime with an 88% record is part of this same-side buying cluster.
  • Five wallets bought $73k of the same outcome, more than the market’s prior total volume.
  • Volume spiked massively before the match while sharp serial traders entered at about 51¢.

$73,422 on Portugal

New repeat whale on underdog

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor bought DR Congo in a quiet spread market with a trade nearly 8x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $201k.
  • The $3.6k buy is nearly 8x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
  • Entry at 49¢ means the bettor is backing DR Congo to keep Portugal within one goal or better.

$3,558 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 DR Congo, $416,958 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x224a...a3d5 Portugal, $281,918 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xa80e...6aa1 Portugal, $46,333 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Portugal, $11,813 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xac75...1319 Portugal, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x8fba...d08a Portugal, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x076d...8d4c Portugal, $5,436 (65% win rate)
  8. 0x2117...5c26 Portugal, $4,072 (45% win rate)
  9. 0xae2b...90ea Portugal, $3,745 (34% win rate)
  10. 0xdb83...1e50 DR Congo, $3,514 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

13hPortugal vs. DR Congo - More Markets$172,007 tracked5 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames
Portugal
51¢
DR Congo
50¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 17 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DR Congo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Portugal
54¢
52¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,621 on Portugal at 51¢

51¢51¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

3h ago

$1,163 on DR Congo at 49¢

49¢50¢1¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

1d ago

$92,243 on DR Congo at 49¢

49¢50¢1¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

2d ago

$73,422 on Portugal at 51¢

51¢51¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

3d ago

$3,558 on DR Congo at 49¢

49¢50¢1¢

Related Theses