Part of: Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,576.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
89% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 89% win rate bought No at 90¢ as the market rapidly broke higher toward resolution, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 1,114 bets and is up $160k lifetime
- They trade across 391 related markets and just bought No as the price jumped 24 points in under 4 minutes
- Entry at 90¢ is expensive, but it shows high confidence in a market that quickly moved to 100¢
$1,586 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp wallet fading spike
A proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate joined coordinated selling into a big price spike, which translates to buying No around 23¢ after Yes ran from 44¢ to 78¢.
- A bettor who wins 95% of their trades and is up $1.24M lifetime sold into this move.
- Three wallets hit the same side as Yes jumped 33 points, suggesting they think 78¢ is too expensive.
- This is a liquid soccer market, so fading the surge by buying No near 23¢ is the clean copy trade.
$3,975 on No
Sharp sports dip buyer
A high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate across 1,461 resolved markets bought into a sharp 20-point dip on a liquid match market, making this a credible follow signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 72% of 1,461 resolved trades and is up $136.9k lifetime
- They trade across many related markets — 34 markets in 26 events for about $49k tracked
- Bought Yes at 53¢ right after a fast 20-point drop, suggesting they saw value in the selloff
$1,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
95% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.24M profit made a sizable fresh bet, making this wallet worth tracking despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.24M across 585 settled positions.
- They trade across 220 events and 277 markets, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 51¢ before the market fell to 26¢, creating a much cheaper follow price if their read is right.
$4,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
3-wallet contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into No within minutes during a sharp pre-match volume and price swing, creating a coordinated contrarian signal worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets put $7.7k behind No within minutes as this market saw a 10.7x volume spike.
- Their buying helped push No from roughly 18% to 42% in minutes before it settled back near 18%.
- They were betting against an 82% favorite, so entries around 21-23¢ imply they saw the upset chance as meaningfully higher.
$7,679 on No
97% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 97% win rate and strong historical edge bought Yes at 52¢ in a liquid soccer market, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 97% of their resolved trades and is up about $51.9k overall.
- They bought at 52¢, close to the current ask, suggesting straightforward conviction rather than chasing a spike.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a real opinion in a major sports market.
$1,945 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active and profitable cross-market bettor bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a modest but followable signal despite the trade size being small for market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 57% of 415 resolved markets and is up $1.18M lifetime
- The market saw a 578x volume spike, suggesting notable money moved in before kickoff
- They bought No at 45¢, a price that implies roughly a 55¢ fair value on the opposite side
$1,991 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite only moderate standalone signals.
- This bettor has won 236 of 415 resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime
- They bought No at 45¢ during a 1,563x surge in market activity, suggesting strong pre-event positioning
- The bet is meaningful at $8.3k, and 45¢ implies they see Real Sociedad as less likely than the market does
$8,290 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x50b1...f076 — Outcome 79489742, $361,434 (56% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 79489742, $4,838 (69% win rate)
- 0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 79489742, $3,875 (98% win rate)
- 0xb9e7...0365 — Outcome 79489742, $3,796 (97% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 26615919, $3,602
- 0x8fe7...4f20 — Outcome 79489742, $2,467 (62% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 79489742, $2,350 (64% win rate)
- 0xbb64...bfdc — Outcome 79489742, $1,942 (70% win rate)
- 0x781c...db68 — Outcome 79489742, $1,469
- 0xccda...21f3 — Outcome 79489742, $1,119
