Part of: Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
This Polymarket market covers who advances in the Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Rolex Paris Masters qualifying match, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Current odds are not included in the provided market data; the market is listed to resolve on November 8, with rules covering cancellations or a winner not being determined by November 15.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Lorenzo Sonego in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,515.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor backs Vallejo
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% record bought Vallejo at 34¢, well below current 42¢ odds.
- This bettor has won 77% of 159 resolved bets and is up $545,176.
- They bought Vallejo at 34¢; the market is now pricing him at 42¢.
- The wallet has traded across 230 events, with over $3.1 million in activity.
$2,264 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable bettor fading Sonego
A highly profitable, experienced bettor sold $6.4K of Sonego near 87¢, creating a contrarian Vallejo position despite Sonego's recent price surge.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,201 resolved trades and earned $4.4M.
- They sold $6,370 of Sonego at 87¢, pointing to Vallejo at roughly 13¢.
- The trade goes against a 28-point Sonego price surge, making it a notable contrarian position.
$6,370 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 72%
Four-wallet cluster with proven sharp
Four wallets put $12.4K on Sonego amid a major volume spike, including a proven bettor with a 93% win rate over 724 resolved positions.
- Four wallets bought Sonego for a combined $12,446, showing a coordinated one-sided view.
- One bettor has won 93% of 724 resolved positions and is up about $1.16M.
- Trading volume spiked to 351 times its 24-hour average as the bets came in.
$16,882 on Lorenzo Sonego
Profitable serial trader adds to Vallejo
A proven profitable bettor with 288 resolved positions added $19,000 to an existing Vallejo position amid a 351x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 288 resolved trades and is up $43,533 overall.
- They added $19,000 to an existing Adolfo Vallejo position as market volume surged to 351 times its recent average.
- The trade was entered at 50¢; current odds have since eased to 48% for Vallejo.
$19,000 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xf816...0433 — Adolfo Vallejo, $38,311 (63% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Adolfo Vallejo, $8,506 (60% win rate)
- 0x2180...08f0 — Adolfo Vallejo, $6,735 (77% win rate)
- 0x7750...a3f3 — Adolfo Vallejo, $5,609 (28% win rate)
- 0x40f7...1f5e — Adolfo Vallejo, $4,500 (67% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Adolfo Vallejo, $3,134 (80% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Adolfo Vallejo, $2,769 (69% win rate)
- 0x61a8...1ad4 — Adolfo Vallejo, $2,333 (75% win rate)
- 0xa283...61e5 — Adolfo Vallejo, $2,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x3f24...34a9 — Adolfo Vallejo, $1,455 (96% win rate)
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