Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $724,713.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor hit

Serial cross-market bettor with a long positive track record bought No at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a large volume spike.

This bettor has a huge history: 3,238 resolved bets, 71% winners, and about $60k in profit.
They bought No at 88¢ and the market has already moved to 100¢, making this a fast mark-to-market win.
The market saw a 23.9x volume spike, suggesting broader money was also moving the same way.

$1,756 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Late $708k draw cluster

Massive coordinated late flow bought the draw, with 5 wallets putting $708k on Yes amid a 470x volume spike and support from profitable active bettors.

Five wallets bought $708k of the draw side in the final minutes before market close.
Market volume spiked 470x above normal, with nearly all flagged flow on Yes.
The cluster includes profitable active bettors, including one up $917k lifetime and another winning 78% of resolved trades.

$708,326 on Yes

Sharp cluster buying draw

High-score one-sided draw cluster led by profitable sports wallets, though the market has moved sharply against their 22–23¢ entries.

A bettor up $1.22M lifetime joined the draw side with a 63% record over 1,157 resolved bets.
Three wallets put $13.3k on the same long-shot draw outcome, including a 2-hour-old wallet already flagged four times.
Entry was around 22¢, but the market has since fallen to 6¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

$13,332 on Yes

Perfect-record serial bettor

A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 13-0 resolved record is buying the draw at 28¢.

This bettor has won all 13 resolved bets and is up $4.3K lifetime.
They have traded across 33 events with about $250K deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
Entry at 28¢ implies a 3.6x payout if Norway vs. Senegal ends level.

$1,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 12958252, $3,825,340 (100% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11568962, $1,060,046
0x24c5...c428 — Outcome 12958252, $466,083 (33% win rate)
0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 12958252, $367,001 (100% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 12958252, $106,655 (64% win rate)
0xaa07...2125 — Outcome 12958252, $39,495 (52% win rate)
0xc8ec...e8f1 — Outcome 12958252, $31,305 (31% win rate)
0x7c73...6ee3 — Outcome 12958252, $27,586 (100% win rate)
0xd42b...baf1 — Outcome 12958252, $25,493 (100% win rate)
0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 12958252, $21,998 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium advances on penalties, slow start

Covers 3 related markets

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

ResolvedNorway vs. Senegal$724,713 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

74¢

72¢

69¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction