Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three Group Stage match between MOUZ and 9z at PGL Astana, originally scheduled for May 11 at 7:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter currently tracks $13,015 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent alerts showing both MOUZ momentum and notable underdog backing on 9z.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MOUZ and 9z in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,922.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a strong 127-bet record and $105k profit took a contrarian 9z position at 42%, despite the market now trading lower.
- This bettor has won 64% of 127 resolved bets and is up $105k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 78 events with $374k in similar activity.
- The 42¢ entry is a contrarian underdog bet, with the market now around 38¢.
$3,750 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports whale
Very high-volume serial cross-market bettor with $2.1M lifetime profit bought MOUZ at 75¢ before a fast move to 90¢.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved trades.
- They bought MOUZ at 75¢ before the market quickly moved to 90¢.
- This wallet has traded 1,617 markets across 1,391 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
$3,553 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial bettor caught move
Serial cross-market bettor bought MOUZ at 64¢ just before the market jumped to 90¢, though their long-term edge is modest.
- This bettor has traded across 31 events and wins 63% of resolved bets.
- They bought MOUZ at 64¢ before odds quickly moved up to 90¢.
- The move was fast and decisive, with MOUZ rising 16 points in about 5 minutes.
$2,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 63%
Three-wallet MOUZ flow
Three wallets are aligned on MOUZ before the match, including two very active serial cross-market sports bettors, though the edge is moderate and one wallet has weak historical results.
- Three wallets put $7.4K on MOUZ, all taking the same side before the match.
- Two of the bettors are highly active across esports and sports markets, with 42 events and over $200K traded each.
- Market volume is running 14x above normal, adding support to the one-sided move.
$7,351 on MOUZ
Profitable serial sports bettor
Experienced high-volume bettor with positive long-term P&L bought the 9z underdog during a notable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has 1,017 resolved trades and is up about $90.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 194 events, suggesting a specialized cross-market sports/esports strategy.
- Bought 9z at 35¢ during a 14.4x pre-event volume spike.
$3,500 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp underdog buyer
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% historical win rate is buying 9z as underdog during a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $170K lifetime.
- They are buying 9z at 35¢, taking the underdog against the current 36% market price.
- Market volume is running 14x above normal before the match, adding momentum to the signal.
$2,164 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable trader in MOUZ cluster
Profitable serial sports trader joined a 3-wallet one-sided MOUZ buy cluster during an 11x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $40,687 lifetime across 246 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought MOUZ in the same window, totaling $10,696 on one side.
- Market volume spiked 11x before the match, supporting the directional move.
$3,313 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 56%
Coordinated MOUZ flow
Coordinated one-sided flow into MOUZ is supported by a high-volume serial cross-market sports trader, though this wallet's individual trade looks like exiting a small 9z position.
- Three wallets are all moving the same way on MOUZ, totaling about $10.7K in coordinated buying pressure.
- This bettor is a very active cross-market trader with 311 resolved bets and $1.27M invested historically.
- The market just saw an 11x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind the MOUZ side.
$1,190 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 57%
New profitable whale on underdog
A 20-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early $36.7k profit is buying the 9z underdog at 37¢.
- This wallet is only 20 hours old but is already up $36.7k across 3 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 7 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $53.3k in recent conviction trades.
- The bettor is backing 9z at 37¢ against current market odds near 35%, taking the underdog side.
$2,560 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable wallet in 9z cluster
High-score alert driven by coordinated 9z buying from 5 wallets plus a very new profitable wallet adding a $2k position.
- Five wallets are all buying 9z, totaling nearly $12k on the same side.
- This wallet is only 2 days old but already has 8 positions and is up about $2.1k.
- The market also saw a 20x pre-event volume spike, reinforcing the one-sided move.
$2,068 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xf4ec...c574 — 9z, $37,646 (55% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — MOUZ, $30,662 (58% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — MOUZ, $29,684 (60% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — MOUZ, $28,158 (56% win rate)
- 0x4d32...9dfc — 9z, $26,722 (71% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — MOUZ, $25,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — 9z, $22,563 (93% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — 9z, $21,420 (62% win rate)
- 0x4d6e...5cfd — MOUZ, $20,244 (48% win rate)
- 0x21ec...5348 — MOUZ, $20,000 (57% win rate)
