Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

36 smart money signals detected, totaling $799,271.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster backing France spread

High-scoring France spread cluster with $101.7k one-sided flow, sharp profitable wallets participating, and a 19-point price move supporting the direction.

Seven wallets put $101.7k on France -1.5, creating strong one-sided pressure.
Two profitable bettors on this side win 93% and 85% of their resolved trades, with about $1.5M combined profit.
France has already moved up 19 points, and the largest entries are still clustered around the current 62–63¢ price.

$101,700 on France

Profitable whale with coordinated flow

A profitable high-volume wallet is part of coordinated one-sided flow, buying Sweden +1.5 while positioning across related France-Sweden markets.

This bettor is up $228,760 lifetime and put $69,624 across related markets.
11 wallets bought the same Sweden +1.5 side, totaling $113,061 in one-sided flow.
Market volume spiked over 38x as price moved 10 points against France over the past day.

$69,624 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 58%

16-wallet France push

High one-sided France flow and major pre-event volume spikes make this worth watching despite this wallet’s poor historical P&L.

16 wallets bought France -1.5 in the same window, totaling about $171K.
The market saw a huge pre-game volume spike, up to 189x its normal activity.
This wallet added about $12K at 52–53¢, but its long-term record is poor.

$13,097 on France | Wallet win rate: 47%

Sharp 85% bettor in 16-wallet wave

Sharp 85% winner joined a large 16-wallet one-sided France buy wave amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $91K lifetime.
16 wallets bought the same France side for $171K total, showing broad one-way conviction.
Market volume spiked 46x before the game, and this wallet has a strong 63-event cross-market track record.

$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%

38-0 sharp backing Sweden

Elite 38-0 bettor with a long cross-market record bought Sweden alongside heavy one-sided flow from 8 wallets.

This bettor has won 38 of 38 resolved positions and is up $57K lifetime.
They have traded 73 events with a perfect resolved record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Eight wallets are all backing Sweden, totaling $361K in same-direction flow.

$10,000 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 95%

Serial winner joins Sweden cluster

Strong one-sided Sweden flow backed by an experienced cross-market trader with a 73% resolved win rate and a large pre-game volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 453 resolved trades and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
Eight wallets bought Sweden in the same direction for about $360K total.
Market volume spiked 48x before kickoff, with this entry around 48¢ implying near-even odds.

$1,858 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% serial cross-market bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is buying France -1.5 at 54¢, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets across 34 markets.
They have traded across 25 events with nearly $70K in similar cross-market activity.
Entry at 54¢ implies they see France covering by 2+ goals as underpriced.

$1,040 on France | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable new whale on underdog

Highly profitable new wallet with repeated large flagged bets bought Sweden, aligning with a $445k one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.

This new bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved trades and up about $978k so far.
Three wallets are all buying Sweden, totaling about $445k on the same side.
Entry at 47¢ backs Sweden to keep France within one goal or better.

$44,187 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 48%

93% winner joins Sweden cluster

Sharp 93% winner bought $88k of Sweden alongside a larger one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved positions at roughly coin-flip prices.
Three wallets have bought the same side, totaling $445k on Sweden.
Entry at 47¢ implies they see Sweden as a near-even underdog with upside.

$88,072 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 93%

98% winner joins Sweden flow

A highly profitable 98% win-rate sports bettor exited France while a 5-wallet one-sided flow is effectively backing Sweden.

This bettor has won 81 of 83 resolved trades and is up $90K lifetime.
Five wallets are all effectively backing Sweden, totaling about $130K in the same direction.
Selling France at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Sweden around 45¢.

$6,918 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 94%