Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: France (-1.5)
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $799,271.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing France spread
High-scoring France spread cluster with $101.7k one-sided flow, sharp profitable wallets participating, and a 19-point price move supporting the direction.
- Seven wallets put $101.7k on France -1.5, creating strong one-sided pressure.
- Two profitable bettors on this side win 93% and 85% of their resolved trades, with about $1.5M combined profit.
- France has already moved up 19 points, and the largest entries are still clustered around the current 62–63¢ price.
$101,700 on France
Profitable whale with coordinated flow
A profitable high-volume wallet is part of coordinated one-sided flow, buying Sweden +1.5 while positioning across related France-Sweden markets.
- This bettor is up $228,760 lifetime and put $69,624 across related markets.
- 11 wallets bought the same Sweden +1.5 side, totaling $113,061 in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked over 38x as price moved 10 points against France over the past day.
$69,624 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 57%
16-wallet France push
High one-sided France flow and major pre-event volume spikes make this worth watching despite this wallet’s poor historical P&L.
- 16 wallets bought France -1.5 in the same window, totaling about $171K.
- The market saw a huge pre-game volume spike, up to 189x its normal activity.
- This wallet added about $12K at 52–53¢, but its long-term record is poor.
$13,097 on France | Wallet win rate: 46%
Sharp 85% bettor in 16-wallet wave
Sharp 85% winner joined a large 16-wallet one-sided France buy wave amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $91K lifetime.
- 16 wallets bought the same France side for $171K total, showing broad one-way conviction.
- Market volume spiked 46x before the game, and this wallet has a strong 63-event cross-market track record.
$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%
38-0 sharp backing Sweden
Elite 38-0 bettor with a long cross-market record bought Sweden alongside heavy one-sided flow from 8 wallets.
- This bettor has won 38 of 38 resolved positions and is up $57K lifetime.
- They have traded 73 events with a perfect resolved record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Eight wallets are all backing Sweden, totaling $361K in same-direction flow.
$10,000 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial winner joins Sweden cluster
Strong one-sided Sweden flow backed by an experienced cross-market trader with a 73% resolved win rate and a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 453 resolved trades and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought Sweden in the same direction for about $360K total.
- Market volume spiked 48x before kickoff, with this entry around 48¢ implying near-even odds.
$1,858 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 73%
85% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is buying France -1.5 at 54¢, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets across 34 markets.
- They have traded across 25 events with nearly $70K in similar cross-market activity.
- Entry at 54¢ implies they see France covering by 2+ goals as underpriced.
$1,040 on France | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable new whale on underdog
Highly profitable new wallet with repeated large flagged bets bought Sweden, aligning with a $445k one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved trades and up about $978k so far.
- Three wallets are all buying Sweden, totaling about $445k on the same side.
- Entry at 47¢ backs Sweden to keep France within one goal or better.
$44,187 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner joins Sweden cluster
Sharp 93% winner bought $88k of Sweden alongside a larger one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved positions at roughly coin-flip prices.
- Three wallets have bought the same side, totaling $445k on Sweden.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see Sweden as a near-even underdog with upside.
$88,072 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 93%
98% winner joins Sweden flow
A highly profitable 98% win-rate sports bettor exited France while a 5-wallet one-sided flow is effectively backing Sweden.
- This bettor has won 81 of 83 resolved trades and is up $90K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all effectively backing Sweden, totaling about $130K in the same direction.
- Selling France at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Sweden around 45¢.
$6,918 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x7225...659a — Outcome 31613827, $1,036,922 (93% win rate)
- 0xb61b...8a06 — Outcome 31613827, $821,010 (87% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 31613827, $685,283 (73% win rate)
- 0xc31d...4ebe — Outcome 31613827, $349,865 (52% win rate)
- 0x162c...6c47 — Outcome 31613827, $157,472 (73% win rate)
- 0x50f0...5355 — Outcome 31613827, $94,016 (100% win rate)
- 0x3cf6...0cbd — Outcome 31613827, $59,926 (74% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 31613827, $50,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 31613827, $44,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x2c33...04a9 — Outcome 31613827, $37,333 (100% win rate)
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