Part of: Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,949.

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster buying dip

High-scoring alert driven by a profitable, high-volume wallet and linked same-direction buying, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.

This wallet is up $1.35M lifetime across more than 13,000 resolved trades.
Three linked wallets backed the same side, putting about $11.7K into Nuno Borges.
The entry was 80¢, but the market has fallen to 44¢, so this is a risky contrarian follow rather than clean momentum.

$4,762 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable serial tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Borges alongside one-sided cluster flow during a large pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against the position.

This bettor has won 70% of 150 resolved bets and is up $438,883 lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $11,721 on Nuno Borges.
The market saw a 10.5x volume spike, and the bettor entered at 48¢ with Borges now cheaper at 44¢.

$2,870 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable tennis sharp

Sharp sports wallet with an 83% resolved-bet record and strong profit bought Nuno Borges despite only modest alert severity.

This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved bets and is up $52.8K lifetime.
They bought Nuno Borges at 83¢ after a sharp 11.5-point move in five minutes.
The market has strong liquidity, but this wallet’s track record makes the buy worth following.

$2,000 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 83%

92% winner buying Borges

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win record and strong cross-market history bought Nuno Borges at 82¢ amid rapid upward price movement.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $69.9K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 53 events, $149K traded, and the same 92% win rate.
Borges moved up 11.5 points in 5 minutes, and this buy came during that momentum.

$2,886 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp tennis bettor fading rally

Despite a weak price-impact signal, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 86% winner is fading Nuno Borges after a sharp rally.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $150K lifetime.
They sold Nuno Borges after a 32.5-point one-day move, effectively backing Marin Cilic around 20¢.
The market is liquid, so the signal is mainly the bettor’s strong track record rather than trade size.

$1,434 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable tennis sharp buying favorite

Sharp tennis bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and strong profit bought Nuno Borges into clear upward momentum.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $52.8K lifetime.
They bought Nuno Borges at 83¢ after the market moved sharply upward, including an 11.5-point jump in 5 minutes.
Their historical wins came at 58¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten market expectations before.

$1,500 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable high-volume trader

High-volume profitable sports trader bought Nuno Borges amid strong upward price momentum, though the individual bet is modest relative to market volume.

This bettor is up $3.7M lifetime across more than 44,000 resolved bets.
They bought Nuno Borges at 81¢ as the price jumped 11.5 points in 5 minutes.
The market has strong momentum, with Borges up 33 points over the last day.

$1,576 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 55%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

Surfacing because this is a highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate buying Marin Cilic despite the market heavily favoring Borges.

This bettor has won 666 of 673 resolved bets and is up about $375k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 150 events with a 99% historical hit rate.
They bought Marin Cilic at 19¢, a contrarian underdog position in a market that moved sharply toward Borges.

$2,475 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 99%

Linked wallets buying Cilic

Three linked wallets and two highly profitable high-volume bettors are buying Marin Cilic into a sharp price move and pre-event volume spike.

Three wallets funded by the same source bought $9.2K of Marin Cilic shares in the same direction.
Two of the buyers are large profitable bettors, each up about $1.3M lifetime on Polymarket.
Cilic moved from the low 20¢ range to 56¢ as volume spiked 10.5x above normal.

$9,200 on Marin Cilic

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Nuno Borges amid a sharp volume spike and rapid price move upward.

This bettor has won 71% of 238 resolved bets and is up $171,801 lifetime.
They have traded across 94 events with $611k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
Borges has surged 34 percentage points over the past day, with a 16.7x volume spike before this buy.

$1,288 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 64990199, $25,168 (94% win rate)
0x8a3a...eb9a — Outcome 64990199, $13,151 (100% win rate)
0x1137...e601 — Outcome 64990199, $9,286 (84% win rate)
0xd123...d341 — Outcome 64990199, $7,559 (74% win rate)
0xe649...51dc — Outcome 64990199, $6,635 (83% win rate)
0xefdd...017f — Outcome 64990199, $6,448 (95% win rate)
0x55a1...db28 — Outcome 64990199, $6,000 (83% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 64990199, $4,946 (81% win rate)
0xb7ab...a2d1 — Outcome 64990199, $4,654 (100% win rate)
0x9b90...5fb9 — Outcome 64990199, $4,125 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Qatar Switzerland stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match

Covers 4 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively

Covers 3 related markets

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

ResolvedLibema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic$62,949 tracked21 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Marin Cilic in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.