Part of: AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 21, 2026 If AFC Ajax wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,744.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Eredivisie
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader flips Yes
Profitable serial cross-market trader flipped from a prior No position to buying Yes amid a 72x pre-event volume spike and 25-point price move.
- This bettor has traded 90 markets across 66 events and is up $360k lifetime.
- The market is seeing a 72x volume spike, with Yes up 25 points in the last day.
- They previously held No but have now bought $3,000 of Yes at 78¢.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
95% winner buying No
Surface this because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Ajax No at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $494K lifetime.
- They have traded across 108 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying No at 49¢ goes against a near-even market, implying they see Ajax as overpriced.
$1,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
86% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $487k lifetime profit is buying Ajax No at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $487,695 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 128 events and nearly $400k in tracked event bets.
- Entry at 49¢ suggests they see Ajax failing to win as better than a coin flip.
$1,568 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $15,302 (55% win rate)
- 0x966c...9b1a — Yes, $12,898 (56% win rate)
- 0x4cb7...3644 — Yes, $9,947 (60% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $8,843 (72% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — No, $6,278 (56% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Yes, $6,000 (23% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Yes, $5,894 (51% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — No, $4,744 (75% win rate)
- 0xb8c4...7385 — Yes, $4,517 (44% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — No, $3,396 (86% win rate)
Related Theses
Wolfsburg won't win today
Covers 1 related market
