This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $494K lifetime. They have traded across 108 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge. Buying No at 49¢ goes against a near-even market, implying they see Ajax as overpriced.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $487,695 lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 128 events and nearly $400k in tracked event bets. Entry at 49¢ suggests they see Ajax failing to win as better than a coin flip.

Part of: AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,030.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Eredivisie

Notable Trades

93% winner caught Ajax early

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor bought Ajax Yes at 78¢ before a major volume spike and the market has already moved to 96¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
They bought Ajax at 78¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.
Market volume spiked 43x, confirming strong late momentum behind the same side.

$2,286 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial trader flips Yes

Profitable serial cross-market trader flipped from a prior No position to buying Yes amid a 72x pre-event volume spike and 25-point price move.

This bettor has traded 90 markets across 66 events and is up $360k lifetime.
The market is seeing a 72x volume spike, with Yes up 25 points in the last day.
They previously held No but have now bought $3,000 of Yes at 78¢.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

95% winner buying No

Surface this because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Ajax No at 49¢.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $494K lifetime.
They have traded across 108 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Buying No at 49¢ goes against a near-even market, implying they see Ajax as overpriced.

$1,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

86% winner buying No

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $487k lifetime profit is buying Ajax No at 49¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $487,695 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 128 events and nearly $400k in tracked event bets.
Entry at 49¢ suggests they see Ajax failing to win as better than a coin flip.

$1,568 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 30664736, $8,843 (72% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 30664736, $4,744 (75% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 30664736, $3,396 (86% win rate)
0x374a...03ed — Outcome 30664736, $2,400 (95% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 30664736, $2,245
0xe1a6...d584 — Outcome 30664736, $1,764 (94% win rate)
0x3cec...d241 — Outcome 30664736, $1,429
0x38f1...9ff1 — Outcome 30664736, $1,300 (78% win rate)
0xfb13...5946 — Outcome 30664736, $1,200 (94% win rate)
0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 30664736, $1,100

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg won't win today

Covers 1 related market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?

ResolvedAFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen$8,030 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerEredivisie

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 21, 2026 If AFC Ajax wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

97¢

74¢

50¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction