Part of: FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,978.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

New whale caught breakout

A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly making multi-thousand-dollar bets and bought Bayern at 81¢ just before a sharp move to 94%, suggesting strong conviction despite limited track record.

  • A 2-day-old wallet has already made 5 positions and over $4.1k in flagged bets
  • This buy came at 81¢ before the market jumped to 94%, a 13-point gain
  • The trader is early and aggressive, but the wallet's resolved history is still very limited

$1,537 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

15-wallet Bayern cluster

A 15-wallet funded cluster piled into Bayern at 63¢ before a sharp move to 92%, suggesting coordinated conviction with strong follow-through.

  • 15 linked wallets funded by the same source are active here, and 5 wallets bought the same side for nearly $9.9k total
  • This wallet has a huge sample size with $167.8k profit across 3,598 resolved bets, making the buy worth tracking despite a modest 55% win rate
  • They bought Yes at 63¢ and the market is now 92¢ after a heavy volume surge, showing strong immediate follow-through

$1,315 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor caught 63¢

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Bayern Yes at 63¢ before a coordinated 5-wallet move, and the market has since surged to 92%.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $5.4M across nearly 2,900 bets
  • Five wallets bought the same side, and this wallet got in at 63¢ before the market jumped to 92¢
  • The trade locked in ahead of a 10.7x volume spike, implying they saw Bayern as badly underpriced

$3,275 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

77% winner buys No

A highly profitable sports trader with a 77% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying No before a large volume spike, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $218k across 371 bets
  • Three wallets all bought No for $14.2k total during a 26x volume spike
  • They entered at 37¢ and No is now 56¢, so the market moved hard in their favor

$3,338 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable cluster buying No

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined two other wallets to buy No before a sharp move, and the trade is already up 20 points in a heavily active pre-match market.

  • This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up about $96k lifetime
  • Three wallets all bought No for $14.2k total, showing coordinated conviction
  • The entry was 36¢ and the market is now 56¢, a fast 20-point move in their favor

$3,995 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable 4-wallet NO cluster

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet one-sided cluster buying No into a sharp volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction against Bayern at 39¢.

  • This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $96k on $315k invested
  • Four wallets all bought No on the same market, totaling about $20k in one-sided flow
  • They entered at 39¢ during a 32x volume surge, implying they saw Bayern as overpriced

$2,154 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp cluster buying dip

An 8-wallet cluster put nearly $21k into Bayern Yes, led by one highly profitable 73% win-rate trader, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the market moving sharply against their entry.

  • An 8-wallet cluster bought nearly $21k on Bayern, with one bettor up $5.4M lifetime and winning 73% of resolved trades
  • The buys hit after a 24-point one-day drop, so they were stepping into a sharp selloff rather than chasing momentum
  • Two wallets are linked by funding source, and several accounts are heavy cross-market sports traders with millions in historical volume

$20,969 on Yes

Serial timer with 89% win rate

A highly profitable serial live-sports bettor with an 89% win rate bought No just 4.6 minutes before resolution alongside coordinated one-sided flow, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up $681k across 172 resolved positions.
  • They bought No 4.6 minutes before the match resolved, and this wallet has 11 profitable last-minute bets across 10 markets.
  • 4 wallets piled into the same No side for $18.2k total as market volume surged 38x normal levels.

$1,059 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

4-wallet late No cluster

Worth surfacing because 4 wallets piled into No within 1 minute of resolution on a live sports market during a 38x volume spike, even though this specific wallet's own track record is poor.

  • 4 wallets bought No together for $18.2k less than 2 minutes before the match resolved
  • Market volume ran 38x above normal, which supports a real late-game information edge
  • This wallet itself has a weak record, but the coordinated timing and one-sided flow are the real signal

$2,303 on No | Wallet win rate: 26%

80% winner fading Bayern

A proven profitable sports trader with an 80% win rate joined a small one-sided cluster buying No at 35¢ in Bayern’s match, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up about $228k on roughly $523k invested
  • Three wallets all bought No, with about $12.7k total backing the same side
  • Entry at 35¢ means the trade is buying the upset/draw side well below even odds

$1,872 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x08e6...5448 Outcome 70995540, $50,984 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xd776...ffeb Outcome 70995540, $28,704 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x87a1...b6ba Outcome 70995540, $28,014 (97% win rate)
  4. 0xbe87...6fc0 Outcome 70995540, $26,311 (87% win rate)
  5. 0xea2b...1fc6 Outcome 70995540, $25,956 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 70995540, $20,900 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 70995540, $16,026 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x9c95...ed41 Outcome 70995540, $15,384 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x62ca...1760 Outcome 70995540, $15,355 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 70995540, $10,051 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

ResolvedFC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart$65,978 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 19, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,537 on Yes at 81¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,315 on Yes at 63¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$3,275 on Yes at 63¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$3,338 on No at 37¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$3,995 on No at 36¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$2,154 on No at 39¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$20,969 on Yes at 61¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,059 on No at 36¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$2,303 on No at 35¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,872 on No at 35¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$9,805 on No at 35¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$11,888 on No at 36¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,097 on No at 32¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

31d ago

$1,370 on No at 31¢

Related Theses