The standout bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $742k lifetime. Three wallets bought $41.7k of No, with most of the size coming in around 77–78¢. Volume spiked 643x before the match, and No has already moved up from a 71¢ entry to 78¢.

Part of: Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC

Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,153.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor fading draw

Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a cross-market position against the draw during a major volume and price spike.

This high-volume bettor is up $433k across 41,857 resolved trades.
They have $22.6k positioned across 3 markets on this match, including $3k against the draw at 62¢.
The draw price just jumped 12 points during a 54x volume spike, making this look like an active match thesis.

$3,018 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable wallets on draw

Three wallets pushed the draw price sharply higher, including two profitable high-volume bettors and one very strong soccer-style entry at 24¢.

Two profitable bettors joined the same draw side, including one up $571k lifetime across 107 resolved trades.
The Yes price jumped 12 points in under 3 minutes, and one wallet entered early at 24¢ before the market moved to 38¢.
This is coordinated one-sided flow: 3 wallets put $5.5k behind the draw as odds rose 9 points on the day.

$5,468 on Yes

88% winner on soccer No

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% long-term win rate bought No at 78¢ before a major pre-event volume spike, and the market has already moved to 90¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $742k lifetime.
They bought No at 78¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢ in their favor.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with an 88% hit rate.

$4,999 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs No

Surface: a highly profitable 88% winner joined a $41.7k three-wallet push buying No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

The standout bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $742k lifetime.
Three wallets bought $41.7k of No, with most of the size coming in around 77–78¢.
Volume spiked 643x before the match, and No has already moved up from a 71¢ entry to 78¢.

$41,668 on No

Top Holders

0x19e2...ce3c — Outcome 49120741, $57,912 (54% win rate)
0x204f...5e14 — Outcome 75096185, $49,241 (55% win rate)
0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 75096185, $36,994 (88% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 49120741, $16,617 (55% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 49120741, $11,320 (65% win rate)
0x5d1d...afd2 — Outcome 49120741, $11,087 (55% win rate)
0x0346...52a5 — Outcome 75096185, $10,890 (52% win rate)
0x0997...c9f6 — Outcome 75096185, $8,225
0x198f...c419 — Outcome 49120741, $5,153 (48% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 75096185, $5,034

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

ResolvedVillarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC$55,153 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 13, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

77¢

73¢

69¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction