Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $231,856.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports trader momentum
Serial sports trader with a positive 120-bet record bought Japan at 80¢ amid a major volume spike and a 31-point price move upward.
- This bettor has won 65% of 120 resolved bets and is up $14,256 lifetime.
- Japan has seen a 25x volume spike and a 31-point move upward, suggesting strong market-wide momentum.
- Entry at 80¢ has already moved to 86¢, with the trader backing Japan despite the higher price.
$1,000 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial bettor cluster
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Tunisia alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 1,104 resolved bets and about $924K in profit.
- Four wallets have all bought Tunisia, totaling about $47.5K in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 42x above its historical average before kickoff.
$3,041 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is buying Tunisia spread protection as part of a broader 7-market event position during a major pre-game volume surge.
- This bettor has won 66% of 1,470 resolved bets and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are active across 7 markets in this event with about $30.8K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Market volume is surging pre-game, with Tunisia bought at 79¢ against current odds near 80¢.
$1,323 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 65%
Cross-market Japan momentum
Surfacing as a momentum/cross-market positioning alert: the wallet is building a $69.8k same-match thesis while Japan has surged on a 26x volume spike, though the wallet is not historically profitable.
- This wallet has put $69.8k across 6 markets in the same match, pointing to a clear Japan/Under thesis.
- Japan has moved up 36 points in 24 hours while market volume is running 26x above normal.
- This is a momentum and positioning signal, not a proven sharp-wallet signal; the bettor is roughly break-even to negative long-term.
$4,364 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%
Coordinated Japan spread buying
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
- Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
- This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.
$14,154 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp whale fading favorite
A profitable sharp wallet joined a 6-wallet $20k coordinated fade of Japan, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- Six wallets put $20k on the same side, effectively buying Tunisia around 14¢.
- The market has since moved against them to about 1¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$20,041 on Tunisia
Coordinated Japan steam
Surface due to clustered one-sided Japan buying amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum, though the lead wallet itself lacks a proven P&L edge.
- Three wallets bought the same Japan spread side, totaling about $22.9K in one-sided flow.
- This market has seen a 33x–50x pre-event volume spike and Japan is up 36 percentage points in the past day.
- The main wallet is also active across 6 related markets with $76.6K deployed on this event.
$18,114 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%
Coordinated Japan spread buying
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
- Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
- This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.
$12,374 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%
Coordinated Japan spread buying
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
- Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
- This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.
$14,638 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%
Three-wallet Tunisia push
High-composite alert driven by $37k of one-sided Tunisia buying from 3 wallets, a 22x volume spike, and a large trade from a profitable high-volume bettor.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling about $37k on Tunisia.
- This market saw a 22x volume spike with a sharp price move around the flow.
- The featured bettor is up about $220k lifetime across more than $7M traded.
$15,339 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 70279450, $53,320 (58% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 70279450, $43,811 (85% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 70279450, $38,581 (65% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 70279450, $11,276 (73% win rate)
- 0x02af...aaa9 — Outcome 70279450, $5,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x5d75...3d44 — Outcome 70279450, $5,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 70279450, $3,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — Outcome 70279450, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 70279450, $1,904
- 0xf7e3...22cb — Outcome 70279450, $1,500 (92% win rate)
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