Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,548.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

89% win-rate Astralis buyer

A highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet bought Astralis, supported by same-side flow and a sharp price move, though the market has since retraced below their entry.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $23,695 lifetime.
Three wallets bought Astralis in the same window for nearly $13k total.
The trader paid 64¢, while Astralis is now around 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp wallet got.

$2,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 89%

92% winner with coordinated flow

Elite cross-market bettor with a 92% record and $2.55M profit made a large Astralis buy, backed by same-direction flow and a major price move, though the price has since fallen sharply.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.55M lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $13k, with this wallet placing the largest trade.
The entry was 77¢, but the market has since dropped to 46¢, making this a volatile live position.

$6,923 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new wallet in 6-wallet push

High composite alert driven by a profitable repeat new wallet joining 6-wallet one-sided buying on paiN amid a major pre-event volume spike.

A 22-day-old wallet is already up $5.3K and has been flagged 5 times for large bets.
Six wallets bought the same side, putting $20K behind paiN in this market.
They entered paiN at 59¢, while the current market is around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trade.

$1,000 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial bettor on paiN

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought paiN at 45¢ amid coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up $836K lifetime across more than 2,300 resolved trades.
Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $20K on paiN in the scan window.
They entered at 45¢ and the market has already moved to 52¢, confirming near-term momentum.

$1,688 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp wallets buying despite drop

High-scoring one-sided Astralis cluster led by two highly profitable wallets, though most entries are currently underwater after a sharp price drop.

Two wallets in this cluster have strong records: one is up $3.19M lifetime, another wins 89% of resolved bets.
Three wallets bought nearly $15k of the same outcome before the match.
Most of the position was entered near 69¢, while the market is now around 48¢.

$14,993 on Astralis

3-wallet same-side push

High composite alert driven by 3-wallet same-side buying and a major pre-event volume spike, though the featured wallet has negative lifetime P&L and the price has moved below entry.

Three wallets bought the same side for $15.4k, showing coordinated conviction before the match.
Market activity spiked 206x above its normal pace, with 16 trades in the window.
This wallet is a very active cross-market trader, but its lifetime P&L is negative, so the cluster flow is the main signal.

$4,385 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp 7-wallet esports sweep

High-conviction one-sided paiN flow from 7 wallets includes a 92% lifetime winner up $2.55M and coincided with a sharp price move into resolution.

A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.55M backed the same side.
Seven wallets bought paiN together for $21K, pushing the market sharply toward 100%.
Another strong wallet with an 86% record and $95K profit also joined the paiN side.

$21,067 on paiN

3-wallet one-sided flow

Coordinated one-sided Astralis buying and a large pre-event volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the visible wallet's negative lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side, totaling about $11.1K in coordinated flow.
Volume spiked 347x above the market’s normal pace before the match.
The visible bettor is a very active cross-market trader, but their lifetime P&L is negative.

$1,149 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial trader

Modestly interesting because a profitable serial esports/sports trader bought paiN as the price moved quickly, though the bet size and track record are not elite.

This bettor has traded across 25 events and is up $8.8K lifetime.
They bought paiN at 47¢ while the market was moving quickly, with a 10.5-point move in about 4 minutes.
The entry is close to current odds, so this is a modest edge signal rather than a whale conviction bet.

$1,180 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 50%

90% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying paiN on Map 1.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $66K lifetime.
They have traded 51 related events with the same 90% hit rate, suggesting a strong esports edge.
Buying paiN at 47¢ implies they see value against a near coin-flip market.

$1,163 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0x880b...c98b — Outcome 10261644, $19,663 (73% win rate)
0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 10261644, $12,045 (80% win rate)
0xd766...24e6 — Outcome 10261644, $3,724 (89% win rate)
0x081e...f76e — Outcome 10261644, $2,692 (92% win rate)
0x8935...7daa — Outcome 10261644, $2,004
0xd599...bf55 — Outcome 10261644, $1,848 (72% win rate)
0x6e71...e570 — Outcome 10261644, $1,350 (90% win rate)
0x7029...1136 — Outcome 10261644, $1,258 (85% win rate)
0x21ed...1ea1 — Outcome 10261644, $1,056
0xb57d...07bf — Outcome 10261644, $1,021 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

France or England wins World Cup

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Liquid advances, 3DMAX takes maps

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$55,548 tracked10 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.