Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $503,325.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

76-wallet coalition backed TEAM VISION

A massive linked-wallet coalition, including several highly profitable bettors, bought TEAM VISION before the market moved from roughly 65% to resolved certainty.

76 linked wallets committed $483,601 to TEAM VISION, alongside a major 35-point price increase.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 97% wins over 255 bets and 90% over 60 bets.
The strongest visible entries were around 64¢, but the market is now at 100%, so the trade is no longer copyable at a reasonable price.

$483,601 on TEAM VISION

Sharp bettor leads Spirit cluster

A coordinated $11.3K Team Spirit position includes a highly profitable bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge, alongside a major event volume spike.

The largest position comes from a bettor who wins 86% of 367 trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
Three wallets placed $11,338 on Team Spirit around 47–50%, creating concentrated one-sided support.
Trading surged to 276x the normal volume ahead of the match, while Team Spirit remains near even odds.

$11,338 on Team Spirit

Serial bettor scaling into TEAM VISION

A serial cross-market bettor is adding to a sizable TEAM VISION position amid a 276x volume spike and coordinated buying by three wallets.

Three wallets bought TEAM VISION together for nearly $6,000 during a 276x surge in normal volume.
This bettor has 1,876 resolved trades with a 63% win rate and is adding to an existing $6,502 position.
The entry was 52¢, below the current 54¢ market price, suggesting meaningful conviction in TEAM VISION.

$1,820 on TEAM VISION | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet TEAM VISION buying cluster

Three wallets are buying TEAM VISION amid a 276x volume spike, and this wallet is adding substantially to an existing position despite lacking a strong individual track record.

Three wallets bought TEAM VISION together for nearly $6,000, creating a meaningful one-sided signal.
Trading volume spiked 276x above its recent average across six trades, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
This wallet added $2,266 to an existing $9,177 TEAM VISION position, though its 51% win rate offers limited independent confirmation.

$2,266 on TEAM VISION | Wallet win rate: 51%

Serial event trader adds to Team Spirit

A serial cross-market bettor with 290 resolved trades added $4,299 to an existing Team Spirit position, creating meaningful conviction despite only a market-rate historical edge.

This bettor has traded 75 markets across 42 events, with 290 resolved bets and $27,017 in lifetime profit.
They added $4,299 to an existing Team Spirit position at 50¢, despite the price falling to roughly 46¢.
The trade is large relative to recent market activity, while the market remains liquid enough for a practical entry.

$4,299 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 10607080, $67,440 (94% win rate)
0x88c3...bea3 — Outcome 10607080, $55,162 (82% win rate)
0x66b1...6b9d — Outcome 10607080, $23,122 (57% win rate)
0x0587...c40b — Outcome 10607080, $19,015 (88% win rate)
0x5038...6236 — Outcome 10607080, $16,820 (52% win rate)
0x19ae...395c — Outcome 10607080, $15,641 (49% win rate)
0x3342...f908 — Outcome 10607080, $15,000 (68% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 10607080, $14,817 (60% win rate)
0xa41c...fade — Outcome 10607080, $14,000 (58% win rate)
0x4572...83ff — Outcome 10607080, $13,605 (57% win rate)

Related Theses

Vision wins Game 2; Spirit advances

Covers 3 related markets

Team Vision sweeps Team Yandex

Covers 3 related markets

Uruguay-Cabo Verde stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

Resolved$503,325 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 4 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 4 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “TEAM VISION”

102¢

77¢

51¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction