Part of: Iraq vs. Norway - More Markets
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Norway" if Norway win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iraq". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
32 smart money signals detected, totaling $148,494.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
95% sharp backing Norway
A proven 95% win-rate sports/cross-market trader bought Norway at 60¢, with additional one-sided support from four wallets despite the market later falling to 36¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $18.5K lifetime.
- They paid 60¢ for Norway while the market now sits near 36¢, giving a much cheaper entry than the sharp’s fill.
- Four wallets bought the same Norway side for $11.5K total, adding support to the thesis.
$2,400 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% winner buying with cluster
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is buying Norway alongside a 6-wallet one-sided flow, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market moving below their entry.
- This bettor has won 38 of 40 resolved bets and is up $18.5K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Norway side for $15.8K total in the scan window.
- Their average entry was about 61¢, while the market is now near 52¢.
$4,272 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable new wallet cluster
High composite alert from a profitable repeat new wallet joining a 6-wallet one-sided Norway buy cluster, despite the position currently marking below entry.
- This 22-day-old wallet has been flagged six times and is already up $8.2k.
- Six wallets bought Norway the same way, totaling $15.8k in one-sided flow.
- The bettor paid 60¢ even with Norway now around 52¢, signaling strong conviction on the spread.
$1,616 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 100%
80% winner backs Iraq flow
Sharp 80% lifetime winner sold Norway, effectively leaning Iraq, and the move aligns with a 5-wallet one-sided Iraq cluster, though it may partly be profit-taking from an earlier Norway position.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $63k lifetime.
- Five wallets are leaning the same way on Iraq, totaling $22.8k in recent buying pressure.
- The trade was a Norway sell, equivalent to entering Iraq around 34¢, though it may partly be profit-taking.
$1,287 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 80%
93% winner backs underdog
Sharp 93% winner bought Iraq alongside a five-wallet one-sided move, despite the market later pulling back below their entry.
- This bettor has won 93% of resolved positions and is up $1.3k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought Iraq the same way, totaling $17.6k of one-sided flow.
- Iraq has pulled back to 38% after this fill at 60%, making the current market cheaper than the sharp entry.
$1,500 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 93%
Coordinated Iraq-side flow
High composite alert from coordinated Iraq-side flow, a brand-new wallet entering at a favorable equivalent price, and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 4 wallets are all betting the Iraq side, totaling $17.4K in the same direction.
- This new wallet sold Norway at 69¢, equivalent to buying Iraq at 31¢, well below the current 57¢ odds.
- The market saw a 14.9x volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning around this game.
$1,926 on Iraq
6-wallet buy cluster
Surfacing because a brand-new profitable wallet joined a 6-wallet one-sided Norway buy cluster during a large pre-event volume spike.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling about $14K in coordinated Norway exposure.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $1,937 across 5 resolved bets.
- Volume spiked 30x above normal, suggesting fresh money is positioning before the match.
$1,414 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor joins Norway cluster
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% track record joined a 6-wallet one-sided push on Norway amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $12.4K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Norway the same way, totaling nearly $14K in one-sided flow.
- Market volume is 30x above normal before kickoff, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$3,000 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 81%
96% winner joins Norway cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet bought Norway alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $83.7K lifetime.
- Ten wallets bought the same Norway side for $44.7K total.
- Norway has fallen to 46¢ after this 58¢ entry, offering a better price than the sharp bettor paid.
$2,000 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettor joins Norway cluster
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet bought Norway while 10 wallets collectively pushed the same side amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $119K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events with the same 88% win rate.
- 10 wallets bought Norway in the same direction for $44.7K during a 32.6x volume spike.
$1,400 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — Iraq, $607,891 (54% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Iraq, $361,736 (77% win rate)
- 0x9243...658e — Norway, $273,941 (89% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Iraq, $140,329 (65% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Norway, $126,608 (94% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Norway, $84,746 (73% win rate)
- 0xe9a6...627b — Norway, $84,746 (100% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Norway, $72,224 (53% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Norway, $62,085 (89% win rate)
- 0xb2c1...4cf3 — Norway, $60,355 (100% win rate)
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