Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

This Polymarket market asks whether the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures contract will record a 1-minute candle high of $130 or higher at any point during May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026, using Pyth-published prices without rounding. PolySpotter is tracking $4,450 in smart money activity and 1 signal on this oil price prediction market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,427.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

New repeat oil whale

A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is adding a $4.45k No position on a liquid WTI oil spike market, totaling $14.45k in flagged activity.

  • A brand-new wallet is already making repeated large bets, with $14.45k flagged across four alerts.
  • This $4.45k buy backs No at 89¢, fading a WTI spike to $130 in May.
  • The wallet is also positioned across another related oil market, suggesting a broader thesis.

$4,450 on No

Profitable new oil bettor

A 22-day-old repeat bettor with early profits added a $5.7k No position against WTI hitting $130, but the track record is still small and the market is fairly liquid.

  • This 22-day-old wallet has already made 3 winning resolved bets and is up $970.
  • They have now placed about $11.4k in flagged bets, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off trade.
  • The bet buys No at 89¢, backing the view that WTI will not spike to $130 in May.

$5,718 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

91% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 91% historical win rate and $406k lifetime profit is buying No on a WTI $130 spike market as part of a larger cross-market oil position.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $406k lifetime.
  • They have put $22k across related oil markets, suggesting a broader view that WTI stays below extreme highs.
  • Entry at 89¢ is a high-probability bet with limited upside but backed by a strong long-term record.

$5,859 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable oil cross-market trader

Profitable wallet is expressing a broad cross-market WTI thesis across 9 related markets, now buying No on the $130 high threshold after closing its prior Yes exposure.

  • This wallet is up $52K lifetime and has put $60K across 9 related WTI markets.
  • They flipped from a prior Yes position into No, suggesting a fresh view that $130 oil is unlikely.
  • Entry at 89¢ is a high-confidence bet with current market odds near 88% No.

$1,801 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%

90% winner fading spike

Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and strong edge is buying No on WTI $130 in May, with related positioning across the event.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $18.6K lifetime.
  • They bought $3.1K of No at 86¢, betting WTI does not hit $130 in May.
  • They have related positions across 2 markets in this oil event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$3,091 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% winner buying NO

A highly proven wallet with a 91% win rate and strong edge bought $4.5k of No on the WTI $130 market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 1,042 positions.
  • They are up $17,135 on $63,263 invested, suggesting a real track record.
  • They bought No at 90¢, betting WTI will not hit $130 in May.

$4,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

88% serial cross-market bettor

Strong serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ across related WTI oil tail-risk markets.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $151k lifetime.
  • They have traded 144 event setups and put $22.6k across 3 related markets here.
  • Selling No at 90¢ is effectively buying Yes at 10¢, a cheap tail-risk bet on WTI reaching $130.

$2,695 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven oil bettor buying NO

A highly profitable 79% win-rate wallet is taking a coordinated cross-market oil thesis, buying No on $130 WTI after positioning across 4 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $261K lifetime.
  • They have put nearly $12K across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader WTI thesis.
  • Entry at 84¢ means they are backing No despite a liquid market with tight spreads.

$2,319 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable whale fades oil spike

A profitable whale is building a broad cross-market No thesis across 11 WTI oil spike markets, including a fresh No buy on $130 despite recent Yes momentum.

  • This bettor is up about $260K lifetime and has put $228K across 11 related WTI markets.
  • They are buying No at 70¢ after Yes odds jumped 10 points in the past day.
  • The trade fits a broader thesis that oil will not hit extreme highs in May.

$4,495 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable oil ladder buyer

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad bullish WTI thesis across 11 related markets, with this Yes buy aligning with recent 10-point market momentum.

  • This wallet is up about $261K lifetime and has traded $7.7M across resolved markets.
  • They have $228K positioned across 11 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad bet on a major oil spike.
  • This market has moved up 10 points in the last day, and their 30¢ entry implies roughly 3.3x upside if Yes wins.

$3,970 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

  1. 0xafc0...5087 Yes, $73,539 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x25db...28de Yes, $40,000 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x1cd2...7f85 No, $38,358 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x436f...2c7f Yes, $34,676 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x72a0...c059 No, $33,748 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x2e4d...f703 No, $32,000
  7. 0x94c4...43ca Yes, $25,866 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x7d0b...840a Yes, $23,000
  9. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $21,554 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $19,210 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 8 related markets

WTI stays below spike levels

Covers 2 related markets

Oil spikes but stays capped

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

18dWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$84,427 tracked18 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “No
93¢
89¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

1h ago

$4,450 on No at 89¢

89¢89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

2h ago

$5,718 on No at 89¢

89¢89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

22h ago

$5,859 on No at 89¢

89¢89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

1d ago

$1,801 on No at 89¢

89¢89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

2d ago

$3,091 on No at 86¢

86¢89¢3¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

6d ago

$4,459 on No at 90¢

90¢89¢1¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

6d ago

$2,695 on Yes at 10¢

10¢12¢2¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

7d ago

$2,319 on No at 84¢

84¢89¢5¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

8d ago

$4,495 on No at 70¢

70¢89¢19¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

8d ago

$3,970 on Yes at 30¢

30¢12¢18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

8d ago

$16,593 on Yes at 22¢

22¢12¢10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

9d ago

$3,150 on Yes at 21¢

21¢12¢9¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

10d ago

$2,169 on Yes at 20¢

20¢12¢8¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

10d ago

$4,444 on No at 80¢

80¢89¢9¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

11d ago

$4,661 on No at 76¢

76¢89¢13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

11d ago

$9,871 on No at 71¢

71¢89¢18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

12d ago

$3,588 on No at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

13d ago

$1,094

Related Theses