Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

This Polymarket market covers the CS2 PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 2 map handicap between Team Falcons and magic. It resolves to Team Falcons if Falcons win at least 2 more maps than magic; otherwise it resolves to magic, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $1,220 in smart money and 1 recent signal on this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between magic and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,466.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% serial sports sharp

Surfaced because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate buying Team Falcons at 61¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $220K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 98 events and 615 markets.
  • Entry at 61¢ suggests they see Team Falcons as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,220 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor

Borderline but worth surfacing because a highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor put $5.2k on magic in a relatively quiet handicap market.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 886 resolved bets and $325k in lifetime profit.
  • They put $5.2k on magic, larger than the market’s flagged recent volume.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 149 events, suggesting this is part of a broader betting process.

$5,246 on magic | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf60...a6f5 Team Falcons, $17,000 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x183f...85e3 magic, $13,941 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x8688...9d8c magic, $10,026 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x67bb...b6ef Team Falcons, $10,000 (62% win rate)
  5. 0xb7f5...c669 Team Falcons, $7,351 (48% win rate)
  6. 0x86e9...4cdf Team Falcons, $6,500
  7. 0x8e8c...65dd magic, $4,500 (47% win rate)
  8. 0x1136...0c2e Team Falcons, $3,684 (68% win rate)
  9. 0xf7c2...9b8d magic, $2,463 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x8b9b...3de2 magic, $2,410 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

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Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

5hCounter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$6,466 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Team Falcons
61¢
magic
40¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between magic and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
63¢
61¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

5h ago

$1,220 on Team Falcons at 61¢

61¢61¢

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

7h ago

$5,246 on magic at 38¢

38¢40¢2¢

Related Theses