What does Pegula -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

Pegula -1.5 means Jessica Pegula must win the match by two or more sets for the market to resolve to Pegula. If she does not meet that margin, the result is Cirstea.

When is the Pegula vs Cirstea match scheduled?

The US Open WTA match is scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 11:00 AM Eastern Time.

How does the Pegula vs Cirstea Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to Pegula if she wins by at least two sets based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it resolves to Cirstea.

What happens if the match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves 50-50 unless its outcome has already been determined under the stated rules.

Are there smart money signals for this tennis market?

Yes. The market tracks $13,500 in smart money activity across two signals, including reported buying and scaling activity on both Pegula and Cirstea.

Part of: US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea

Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)

This US Open WTA prediction market covers the set handicap between Jessica Pegula (-1.5) and Sorana Cirstea (+1.5), scheduled for September 6, 2026. The market resolves to Pegula if she wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Cirstea, with live odds and smart money activity tracked on the market page.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,700.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling into Cirstea

A repeat-betting new wallet is adding substantially to Cirstea amid a major volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against it and the record is too small to establish a proven edge.

This one-day-old wallet has already made eight positions and flagged $6,106 across three large-bet alerts.
The $3,500 addition came during a 194x volume spike in a relatively thin market, suggesting notable conviction on Cirstea.
The wallet is 2-for-2 on resolved bets with a $3,185 profit, but its current Cirstea position has fallen from 54¢ to about 36¢.

$3,500 on Cirstea | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor scaling into Pegula

A proven 87% bettor with a substantial positive edge is adding $10,000 to an existing Pegula position in a thin market.

This bettor has won 87% of 15 resolved trades and is up $47,458 lifetime.
They added $10,000 to an existing Pegula position, bringing their investment to roughly $28,760.
The market has only $9,395 in 24-hour volume, so this is a sizable conviction bet in a relatively thin market.

$10,000 on Pegula | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor scales into Pegula

A proven 87% winner added $7,500 to an already large Pegula position in a thin market during a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 87% of 15 resolved positions and is up $47,458 lifetime.
They added $7,500 to an existing $18,760 Pegula position, showing increased conviction.
The trades consumed nearly all recent market volume during a 555x volume spike, with entry prices around 50–53¢.

$7,500 on Pegula | Wallet win rate: 80%

95% winner adds to Pegula

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $2,700 to an existing Pegula position in a thin market.

This bettor has won 95% of 431 resolved trades and is up $374,484 lifetime.
The $2,700 buy represents more than the market’s entire recent 24-hour volume and adds to an existing Pegula position.
The 51¢ entry implies the bettor values Pegula’s outcome well above the current 48% market price.

$2,700 on Pegula | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0x4d6e...e3aa — Outcome 48024491, $7,008 (100% win rate)
0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 48024491, $1,000 (81% win rate)
0x240a...814c — Outcome 48024491, $430 (90% win rate)
0x0ebb...cb1a — Outcome 48024491, $280 (78% win rate)
0xf218...7bba — Outcome 48024491, $82
0xb91c...ed66 — Outcome 48024491, $68
0x1a1e...f992 — Outcome 48024491, $66
0x715d...a4ba — Outcome 48024491, $48 (78% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 48024491, $38 (71% win rate)
0x3cad...92f0 — Outcome 48024491, $25

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Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)

1dUS Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea$23,700 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Pegula" if Jessica Pegula wins by 2 or more sets than Sorana Cirstea, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cirstea." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jessica Pegula can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Cirstea." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Pegula”

79¢

63¢

47¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction