Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,607.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked underdog cluster
High-conviction linked-wallet flow backed MOUZ despite the market later moving sharply against them, with one profitable 77% bettor and a larger profitable cross-market trader involved.
- 10 linked wallets from the same funder have put about $10k behind the same side.
- One participant wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $12.6k lifetime.
- This is now a contrarian position: they entered around 52¢, while the market has fallen to 20¢.
$11,879 on MOUZ
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader with a 73% win rate joined one-sided flow on Natus Vincere, with three wallets totaling $13.8k and a rapid price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 596 resolved trades and is up $243k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $13.8k on Natus Vincere.
- The trade helped drive a fast 13-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the current pullback.
$4,791 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp bettor joins NAVI cluster
Sharp profitable wallet bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided cluster flow and a rapid price move, despite the market later pulling below their entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $60K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $13.8K total, with Natus Vincere briefly moving up 13 points in under 5 minutes.
- Their 64¢ entry is now below market's displayed odds, so the thesis can currently be followed cheaper than the sharp's fill.
$1,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 84%
11-wallet NAVI buy wave
High composite alert driven by 11-wallet one-sided buying on Natus Vincere plus a brand-new repeat bettor and pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved below the trader's entry.
- 11 wallets bought the same side, totaling $38.2K on Natus Vincere.
- This is a brand-new wallet betting again, with $6.8K flagged across repeat trades.
- The market has pulled back to 57¢ after this 66¢ entry, offering a cheaper price than the flagged bettor paid.
$1,653 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable bettor led MOUZ surge
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought MOUZ before a sharp move, alongside one-sided clustered flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 61% of 332 resolved bets and is up $172,894 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought MOUZ in the same window, totaling $8,216 on one side.
- Their 39¢ entry came before MOUZ jumped to 62¢ in a fast 17-point move.
$1,500 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 61%
98% win-rate sharp
Surfaced despite low composite score because this is an elite proven bettor with a 98% win rate and over $6M profit buying MOUZ for $6k.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.0M lifetime.
- They bought $6,000 of MOUZ around 45¢, and the price has already moved to 47¢.
- Entry near 45¢ implies they see meaningful upside in a close, liquid esports market.
$6,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp serial trader buying MOUZ
Sharp 86% win-rate wallet bought MOUZ at 49¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a rapid price move to 56¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $912K lifetime.
- They bought MOUZ at 49¢ before the price moved to 56¢ in minutes.
- Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $15.4K on MOUZ.
$3,329 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial bettor with cluster
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought MOUZ at 40¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow, with price quickly moving to 56¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 531 resolved bets, 63% wins, and $308k lifetime profit.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $15k total, adding support to the MOUZ move.
- MOUZ jumped from the bettor’s 40¢ entry to 56¢ after a rapid 17-point price move.
$1,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Worth surfacing because a highly profitable 86% wallet and several experienced esports traders bought $12.6k of MOUZ, though the market also shows strong opposing NAVI flow.
- One MOUZ buyer wins 86% of resolved bets and is up about $912k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought $12.6k of MOUZ, including several high-volume traders with six-figure profits.
- The average entry was around 49¢ and MOUZ is now 42¢, offering a better price than the cluster paid.
$12,571 on MOUZ
81% win-rate esports sharp
Highly profitable 81% win-rate esports bettor bought Natus Vincere at 50¢ amid 9-wallet same-side flow, a volume spike, and a quick move to 60¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 50¢ before the market quickly moved to 60¢.
- Nine wallets bet the same side for $33.9K, with volume running 30x above normal.
$3,405 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x6d20...a165 — Outcome 83795019, $150,000 (85% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Outcome 83795019, $56,932 (98% win rate)
- 0x0f14...ec62 — Outcome 83795019, $3,525 (37% win rate)
- 0x6463...1f5c — Outcome 83795019, $3,454 (72% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Outcome 83795019, $3,161 (75% win rate)
- 0xe52c...01f4 — Outcome 83795019, $3,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x33d3...bf38 — Outcome 83795019, $2,500 (67% win rate)
- 0x6573...a570 — Outcome 83795019, $2,200
- 0xa19d...3909 — Outcome 83795019, $2,112 (53% win rate)
- 0x2391...554f — Outcome 83795019, $2,060 (100% win rate)
