Part of: Magic vs. Pistons

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $151,481.

Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA

Notable Trades

Perfect-record contrarian bettor

A perfect-record cross-market bettor bought Magic spread at 12¢ after a sharp price break, making this a cheap contrarian entry from a wallet with an unusually strong track record.

  • This bettor is 24 for 24 on resolved trades and up about $538k on $1.16M invested
  • They've traded 56 markets across 48 events and still show a 100% hit rate
  • Bought Magic at 12¢ after a 35-point price break, implying they saw the selloff as overdone

$2,129 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 94%

Pro sports sharp, 72% wins

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 72% win rate is betting across five markets in this event, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 2,450 of 3,385 resolved trades and is up $6.3M lifetime.
  • They have bet $47.1k across 5 markets in this same game, showing a broader game-level thesis rather than a one-off pick.
  • The copyable side here is Magic at 50¢, close to the current 52¢ market price.

$1,018 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 73%

73% win-rate bettor

A proven sports bettor with a 73% win rate is making a fresh cross-market bet, which is notable even though the dollar size is modest and the market is liquid.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $18.8k overall.
  • They have bet across 53 events and 59 markets, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
  • This is a fresh buy on Pistons spread at 57¢, though the market has since moved down to 51¢.

$1,481 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 80%

Pro bettor, full-game thesis

A very active and highly profitable sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Pistons spread across multiple same-event markets, suggesting a deliberate game thesis rather than a one-off bet.

  • This bettor has won 2,447 of 3,380 resolved trades and is up $6.3M lifetime.
  • They bet 4 markets in this same game for $95.7k total, which points to a strong game script view.
  • This fill came at 53¢ and the market is now 60¢, so the trade is already moving their way.

$1,319 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 73%

Repeat new whale on Pistons

A 2-day-old wallet that has already made 13 large flagged bets just put $25.5k into Pistons -8.5 at 52¢, joining coordinated one-sided buying as the market moved higher.

  • A 2-day-old wallet has already made 13 large flagged bets totaling $319k, which stands out as unusually aggressive early activity.
  • This trade was big for the market: $25.5k bought Pistons at 52¢, and the price is now 60¢.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $30k total while market volume surged 17x above normal.

$25,522 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%

3-wallet late-game pile-in

Surface this because multiple wallets piled into Pistons right before resolution and the price immediately moved from 52¢ entry to 60¢, even though this specific wallet has a poor long-term record.

  • Three wallets bought Pistons for nearly $30k total in the final minute before resolution.
  • This wallet got in at 52¢ and the market moved to 60¢ right after, showing strong late conviction.
  • Market volume was running 17.4x above normal, which supports the idea that informed game-time flow hit this side.

$1,448 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 36%

Sharp live cluster on Magic

Five wallets piled into Magic at 49¢ right around game end, including a serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate and nearly $900k in profits, making this coordinated late flow worth surfacing.

  • Five wallets bought Magic at 49¢ within about 7 minutes of resolution, showing coordinated live-game conviction.
  • One wallet wins 71% of 1,666 resolved bets and is up $894k, while another is 7 for 7 so far.
  • The bets landed about 1 minute before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter most in live sports markets.

$9,811 on Magic

86% win-rate sports bettor

A proven high-volume sports trader with an 86% win rate is buying Pistons -8.5 into a pregame volume spike, making this a follow-worthy sharp bet despite the modest total size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $291k across more than $5.5M invested.
  • They trade across 329 events and 425 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Pistons at 52¢ as market activity jumped 17x above normal, suggesting sharp pregame positioning.

$5,125 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable new wallet whale

A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early strong profits just put another $15k into Magic, making this a credible fresh-conviction sports trade worth watching.

  • This wallet is very new but has already been flagged 24 times for large bets, with $264k in flagged volume and $68k profit.
  • It has won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far and just put nearly $15k on Magic at 49¢.
  • This is a fresh buy in a major NBA market, so the signal comes from the bettor’s early track record and sizing rather than thin-market noise.

$14,958 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 83%

94% win-rate sports sharp

A proven elite sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $2.08M profit just bought Pistons -8.5 at 52¢ in a liquid market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest single-bet size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $2.08M lifetime across 223 settled positions.
  • They have repeated this edge across 452 markets and 369 events, so this looks like a real repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Pistons -8.5 at 52¢, close to a coin flip price, after a 14.6x volume spike in this market.

$6,899 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 43959215, $154,566 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xac25...433f Outcome 43959215, $40,000 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xfdfc...bf06 Outcome 43959215, $30,526 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x844e...4efd Outcome 43959215, $19,981 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xad2b...f091 Outcome 43959215, $17,741 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xa136...ea3c Outcome 43959215, $10,664 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xe187...d4e7 Outcome 43959215, $9,166
  8. 0xc49f...9e05 Outcome 43959215, $6,475 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x92b5...fec6 Outcome 43959215, $5,024 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 43959215, $4,836 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

ResolvedMagic vs. Pistons$151,481 tracked17 signalsSportsBasketballGamesNBA

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 22 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
45-37
Little Caesars Arena
DET
60-22
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -8.5O/U: 219.5ML: +275/-345
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

19d ago

$2,129 on Magic at 12¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$1,018 on Magic at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$1,481 on Pistons at 57¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$1,319 on Pistons at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$25,522 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$1,448 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$9,811 on Magic at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$5,125 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$14,958 on Magic at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$6,899 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$2,050 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$2,050 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$5,119 on Magic at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$11,478 on Pistons at 55¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$1,478 on Pistons at 51¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$10,347 on Pistons at 51¢

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

20d ago

$49,250 on Magic at 50¢

Related Theses