Part of: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,648.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet bearish exit
A highly profitable 77% winner and two other wallets sold $23.6k of Yes into a 33-point collapse, creating a strong bearish signal despite much of it being prior-position exits.
- The strongest wallet wins 77% of nearly 1,000 resolved bets and is up $1.19M lifetime.
- Three wallets sold $23.6k of Yes, matching a sharp move from around 65¢ to 30¢.
- This looks partly like exiting prior Yes positions, but the size and timing point to a strong bearish shift.
$23,647 on No
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor placed a $38k pre-match Buy Yes amid a massive pre-event volume spike and recent odds momentum.
- This bettor has 603 resolved trades, wins 63%, and is up $132k lifetime.
- They put $38k on Yes at 76¢ shortly before the match window, a large stake versus $12.9k listed liquidity.
- Market volume is spiking 578x above normal, and Yes is up 15 points over the past week.
$38,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Million-profit serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $1.33M lifetime profit bought Leverkusen Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 2,671 resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Market volume spiked 203x versus normal before kickoff, adding momentum behind the Yes side.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
87% sharp buying Yes
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate is buying Leverkusen Yes into a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They bought $3.2K of Yes at 75¢ shortly before the scheduled match window.
- Market volume is surging, with activity over 200x its historical average.
$3,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
87% winner buying Yes
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.3M lifetime profit bought Leverkusen Yes amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 635 events with nearly $5.9M in prior volume.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running about 75x its historical average before the match.
$1,494 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
93% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 93% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Leverkusen Yes at 75¢.
- This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets and is up $2,895 lifetime.
- They are buying Yes at 75¢, adding a proven track-record signal despite a fairly liquid market.
- Their average winning entry has been around 72¢, close to this 75¢ price.
$1,473 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Elite soccer sharp buying Yes
Surface because a highly proven soccer bettor with an 87% record and $2.3M lifetime profit is adding to a coordinated Yes buy cluster at 75¢.
- A bettor with 1,156 resolved positions wins 87% of the time and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.5K total, all entering around 75¢.
- The strongest wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $5.9M in tracked volume and an 87% win record.
$7,491 on Yes
87% winner buying Yes
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% long-term win rate bought $3.8k of Leverkusen Yes at 75¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 634 events with the same 87% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
- Entry at 75¢ means they are backing Leverkusen despite the market being liquid and near fair-value scrutiny.
$3,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
83% winner backing favorite
Sharp-wallet override: the bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making this Leverkusen Yes buy worth surfacing despite a low composite score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $6.4K lifetime.
- They bought $1.6K of Yes at 78¢, adding conviction on a market already up 21 points this week.
- Their past wins came at 59¢ average odds, suggesting a real track record beyond just backing heavy favorites.
$1,574 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 40011128, $18,300 (88% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 40011128, $12,586 (55% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 40011128, $5,264 (76% win rate)
- 0x4ec8...762a — Outcome 40011128, $5,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x325f...4511 — Outcome 40011128, $2,938 (65% win rate)
- 0x9079...b19b — Outcome 40011128, $2,653
- 0x8105...3287 — Outcome 40011128, $2,018 (83% win rate)
- 0x38f1...9ff1 — Outcome 40011128, $2,000 (79% win rate)
- 0xa6ee...54ce — Outcome 40011128, $1,000
- 0x2003...af6f — Outcome 40011128, $1,000 (59% win rate)
Related Theses
Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
