Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026, based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices after market creation. It resolves on January 1, 2027, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,400 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from profitable crypto traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,936.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
81% winner fades BTC target
A proven 81% win-rate cross-market bettor is taking the No side while positioning across seven related Bitcoin target markets with over $102k in exposure.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 outcomes.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 127 events and over $1.1M total traded.
- This is part of a larger seven-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $102k, not a one-off bet.
$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable BTC range trader
A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.
- This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
- They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
- Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.
$1,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Surfacing because a highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought Yes on a relatively quiet BTC threshold market with meaningful size.
- This bettor has a long track record: 71% wins across 3,662 resolved bets and $224k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 75 events with over $324k in detected related positioning.
- This $3.7k Yes buy was large for the market, equal to about 62% of recent 24h volume.
$3,683 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
81% winner fades BTC target
A proven 81% win-rate cross-market bettor is taking the No side while positioning across seven related Bitcoin target markets with over $102k in exposure.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 outcomes.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 127 events and over $1.1M total traded.
- This is part of a larger seven-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $102k, not a one-off bet.
$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x744c...e37f — No, $23,459 (81% win rate)
- 0xf705...3ca7 — Yes, $15,488 (51% win rate)
- 0x56ad...f13e — No, $10,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xc553...07f3 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x8bbe...b9dc — Yes, $2,804
- 0xe738...df65 — Yes, $2,685 (64% win rate)
- 0x74b4...6bea — No, $1,600 (80% win rate)
- 0xcf07...c770 — No, $1,400 (30% win rate)
- 0x329d...8dca — Yes, $1,352
- 0xfc91...31eb — Yes, $1,273 (62% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays below $75K
Covers 9 related markets
Argentina France or Portugal wins
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Bitcoin avoids mid-June range
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