Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
This prediction market covers the best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, resolving to the team that wins the match. PolySpotter tracks live market odds alongside $28,709 in smart money activity and 4 smart money signals, including sharp NAVI interest and profitable underdog clusters. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 12, 2026, after a winner is determined or according to the stated cancellation and delay rules.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $143,109.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp serial esports bettor
Surfacing because a highly profitable 75% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere despite the market later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $260,845 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 101 events, with $287,003 tracked in similar activity.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 82¢; the market is now around 74¢, cheaper than the sharp's entry.
$2,581 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $83k lifetime profit is taking a $5.5k position on Natus Vincere amid a pre-event volume spike, though the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $83k lifetime across 88 resolved markets.
- They have traded 86 related events with $429k in total volume, suggesting an experienced event bettor.
- The $5.5k buy came during a 24x pre-event volume spike, although the price has since slipped from 82¢ to 74¢.
$5,516 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 56%
Proven sharp buying favorite
Surfaced despite a low composite score because the buyer has a strong 493-bet record and positive lifetime P&L, making the wallet itself the signal.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $123,782 lifetime.
- They put $4,050 on Natus Vincere despite the market later trading lower at 74%.
- Market activity is elevated, with volume running 24x above its historical average.
$4,050 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable underdog cluster
High-score cluster of five wallets, including a 92% winner and several profitable bettors, is backing Legacy as the underdog after a major pre-event volume spike.
- Five wallets put $16.6K on Legacy, all taking the same underdog side before the match.
- One bettor wins 92% of their resolved bets and is up $78K lifetime.
- Another Legacy buyer is up $590K lifetime, adding weight to the coordinated move.
$16,562 on Legacy
Profitable cluster on underdog
Three wallets are aligning on Legacy, led by a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% record and $590k lifetime profit, amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A highly profitable bettor is backing Legacy with a 70% record across 225 resolved bets and $590k lifetime profit.
- Three wallets put $7.7k on the same underdog side, including two direct Legacy buys at 29¢.
- Market volume is surging 68x above normal before the match, and Legacy has already moved from 29¢ to 32¢.
$7,663 on Legacy
79% serial sports sharp
Sharp 79% lifetime winner with strong P&L and serial cross-market history bought Natus Vincere amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $127,671 lifetime.
- They have traded across 52 events with the same strong 79% win record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Market volume spiked 68.5x before the match, and this sharp bought Natus Vincere at 71¢.
$1,300 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 79%
New repeat esports whale
A brand-new repeat bettor put $3k on Natus Vincere during a 68x pre-match volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited wallet history.
- A 6-hour-old wallet is already making repeat large bets, with $4.2k flagged across positions.
- This market is seeing a 68x volume spike before the match, suggesting broader sharp attention.
- The bettor bought Natus Vincere at 70¢, implying confidence despite already-favored odds.
$3,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp esports bettor buying favorite
Sharp CS bettor with an 81% historical win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Natus Vincere amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $23,936 lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 70¢, slightly above the current 68–69¢ market.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 68.5x above its historical average before the match.
$1,467 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a perfect 20-0 resolved record and $51.6k profit bought $10k of Natus Vincere amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 20-for-20 on resolved bets and is up $51.6k lifetime.
- They put $10k on Natus Vincere at 70¢, a meaningful position even in a liquid market.
- Market volume is running 68x above its historical average, supporting the move.
$10,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Sharp wallet with a 26-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L bought Natus Vincere amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $13.6K lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 70¢ despite the market sitting around 68–69¢, showing willingness to pay for the favorite.
- Market volume is surging 68x above its historical pace before the match.
$1,011 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Natus Vincere, $287,133 (93% win rate)
- 0x89dd...f662 — Legacy, $158,564 (100% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Legacy, $149,999 (100% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Natus Vincere, $44,418 (62% win rate)
- 0x3e23...e933 — Legacy, $38,207 (71% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Legacy, $36,626 (66% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Legacy, $31,250 (94% win rate)
- 0x1610...ae49 — Natus Vincere, $28,115 (65% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Natus Vincere, $25,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Natus Vincere, $24,741 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
G2 wins in five
Covers 4 related markets
B8 sweep BIG
Covers 3 related markets
