Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye - More Markets
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $234,469.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
89% winner buying Under
A high-scoring Under cluster is led by a highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet, with $16k+ in direct Under buys and a sharp price move toward Under.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $3.2M lifetime added to Under.
- Most of the money was direct Under buying, with $16.1k bought between 51¢ and 67¢.
- The market moved hard toward Under, with Over down about 30 percentage points during the alert window.
$19,261 on Under
88% winner buying Over
Sharp 88% lifetime winner is effectively buying Over at 21¢, supported by serial cross-market success and same-direction flow from other wallets.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $165K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Over at 21¢ by selling Under, far below the current 40¢ market price.
- Three wallets are leaning the same way, with $3.4K in combined Over-side flow.
$1,184 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor joins Under cluster
Sharp profitable sports wallet bought Under, backed by same-direction flow from 4 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $18,218 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling about $12,092.
- Volume on this market spiked nearly 69x above its historical average.
$1,133 on Under | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp cross-market sports bettor
Sharp sports wallet with a 75% resolved win record bought Over, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry from 53¢ to 22¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- They have traded across 38 events and 45 markets, with about $696K in total cross-market volume.
- Caution: their 53¢ Over entry is now priced near 22¢, so the market has moved heavily against the trade.
$2,970 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%
15-wallet sharp network
A profitable high-volume bettor from a 15-wallet funded network bought Over for $7.3k, larger than the market's 24h volume.
- This wallet is part of a 15-wallet funded network, suggesting a coordinated betting operation.
- The bettor has a huge history with 77,870 resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime.
- The $7.3k Over buy is larger than the market’s $5.5k 24h volume.
$2,139 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
$1.3M-up serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Under despite a liquid market, with strong lifetime P&L and a recent price-impact signal supporting the move.
- This bettor is up $1.33M lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $5.3M tracked across 113 events.
- They bought Under at 59¢ as the market moved sharply, suggesting conviction on a lower-scoring game.
$4,102 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial trader on Under
Seasoned cross-market sports trader with a profitable 410-bet history joined a 4-wallet Under-buying cluster on a high-volume World Cup totals market.
- This bettor has won 66% of 410 resolved trades and is up about $95k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same Under side for $18.3k total, suggesting coordinated one-way conviction.
- They entered Under at 64¢ while the market is around 66¢, leaving a small but live copy window.
$2,182 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%
4-wallet Under push
Surface due to coordinated same-direction Under buying across 4 wallets, though this specific wallet has a weak long-term record.
- Four wallets bought the same side, putting $18.3K into Under in the same scan window.
- The entry near 67¢ matches the current market price, so the trade is still copyable if the coordinated flow continues.
- This specific wallet has a poor record, so the main signal is the group move rather than the bettor’s track record.
$2,828 on Under | Wallet win rate: 47%
New whale joins Over cluster
A 1-day-old wallet is making repeat large Over bets as part of a 4-wallet one-sided push, alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- A 1-day-old wallet bought $10,000 of Over and has now had $40,000 in large flagged bets.
- Four wallets are all betting Over, totaling $22,773 on the same side.
- Market volume is running 26x above normal, and this entry is already up from 41¢ to 44¢.
$10,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 83%
86% serial sharp
Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under at 55¢ with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $48,386 lifetime.
- They have traded across 81 events with $261,669 deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 55¢ implies they still see value despite a liquid market and heavy pre-event volume.
$2,036 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x1f28...266e — Outcome 18121001, $132,407 (83% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 18121001, $50,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x34f6...4535 — Outcome 18121001, $40,516 (91% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 18121001, $34,378 (25% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 18121001, $25,640 (78% win rate)
- 0xfd0e...9884 — Outcome 18121001, $24,665 (83% win rate)
- 0xc4e9...1e89 — Outcome 18121001, $22,291 (86% win rate)
- 0xd6f5...f3b5 — Outcome 18121001, $11,054 (84% win rate)
- 0x5b75...433b — Outcome 18121001, $10,870 (52% win rate)
- 0x2d8a...e818 — Outcome 18121001, $8,095 (66% win rate)
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