29 wallets bought the same side, putting about $226,900 behind Yes. Volume spiked 55x above normal as Yes surged to 100%. This wallet is new and has been repeatedly flagged, but its resolved track record is still limited and unprofitable.

Seven wallets all backed the draw, putting nearly $65k on Yes in the same window. Market volume spiked 34x above normal as the price moved up to 30¢. Two serial sports traders are involved, with 59–61% historical win rates across dozens of events.

Part of: Colombia vs. Portugal

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,186.

Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

29-wallet draw rush

Strong coordinated flow into Yes with 29 wallets and a major volume spike, though the market now appears effectively priced at 100%.

29 wallets bought the same side, putting about $226,900 behind Yes.
Volume spiked 55x above normal as Yes surged to 100%.
This wallet is new and has been repeatedly flagged, but its resolved track record is still limited and unprofitable.

$4,907 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

7-wallet draw push

Seven wallets bought about $65k of Yes in a coordinated draw position, alongside a 34x volume spike and a move from roughly 25–27¢ to 30¢.

Seven wallets all backed the draw, putting nearly $65k on Yes in the same window.
Market volume spiked 34x above normal as the price moved up to 30¢.
Two serial sports traders are involved, with 59–61% historical win rates across dozens of events.

$64,915 on Yes

Sharp cluster bought Yes

High-scoring Yes cluster with two proven profitable bettors and heavy serial cross-market activity drove a large move from the 30s/40s to 60%.

Two proven bettors joined the Yes side, including one who wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $89k.
Seven wallets bought $33k of Yes, helping push the price from the 30s/40s to 60%.
This market saw a 14.7x volume spike and a 36-point one-day move toward Yes.

$33,363 on Yes

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 83119984, $1,460,774
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 83119984, $61,342 (63% win rate)
0xa700...102b — Outcome 83119984, $22,930 (55% win rate)
0x6550...8451 — Outcome 83119984, $22,067 (51% win rate)
0x9602...4d02 — Outcome 83119984, $13,298 (85% win rate)
0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 83119984, $12,855 (58% win rate)
0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 83119984, $9,484 (55% win rate)
0xfc08...a137 — Outcome 83119984, $9,081 (55% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 83119984, $8,720
0x927c...6633 — Outcome 83119984, $7,060 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Algeria-Austria match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

ResolvedColombia vs. Portugal$103,186 tracked3 signalsGamesSportsSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades