Madrid Open: Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Nuno Borges and Mariano Navone, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, it resolves according to the market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,985 in smart money activity on this market across 1 signal.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Mariano Navone in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,653.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate and 1,893 resolved positions just bought Mariano Navone at 83¢ in a liquid match market after a major price move.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades across 1,893 resolved markets and is up $108.8k lifetime
- They also trade across 99 related events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Mariano Navone at 83¢ after a 22.5-point one-day move, showing conviction even after the market repriced
$2,985 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 96%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has already triggered five large-bet alerts and is again putting meaningful size into a tennis side, suggesting repeat conviction despite limited public track record.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 5 times for large bets, with $18.2k total across alerts
- They just bought Mariano Navone at 66¢ for $2.7k, a sizable bet in a market with only about $18k of 24h volume
- The wallet is profitable so far, but the track record is still very small at 1 resolved win
$2,667 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Nuno Borges, $47,849 (73% win rate)
- 0x2dc8...47d0 — Mariano Navone, $16,184
- 0xf152...64aa — Mariano Navone, $13,267 (69% win rate)
- 0xc5dc...7cf2 — Mariano Navone, $12,921
- 0x3555...ba40 — Mariano Navone, $9,847 (100% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Mariano Navone, $9,583 (44% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Mariano Navone, $8,166 (96% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Nuno Borges, $8,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xa2cc...0cbc — Mariano Navone, $4,414 (53% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Mariano Navone, $4,398 (51% win rate)
