Part of: Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
This Polymarket NBA market predicts the winner of Spurs vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00 AM ET, with the result based on the final score including overtime. The market resolves to “Spurs” if San Antonio wins, “Timberwolves” if Minnesota wins, stays open if postponed, and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up. PolySpotter is tracking $274,540 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this matchup.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00AM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $299,673.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
91% winner whale bet
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate placed a very large $274K buy on Timberwolves at 35¢, far larger than recent market volume.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $341K lifetime.
- They put $274K on Timberwolves at 35¢, a much larger bet than the market’s recent daily volume.
- Entry at 35¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Timberwolves win.
$274,540 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate is fading the Spurs amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 316 resolved bets and is up $322,720 lifetime.
- They put $7.8k against the Spurs, which converts to buying Timberwolves at 36¢.
- Market activity is surging before the game, with volume far above its usual baseline.
$7,758 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced NBA/cross-market bettor with 74% wins and $322k profit made large Spurs trades amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the nearly offsetting buy/sell suggests active position management.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 235 wins across 316 resolved markets and $322,720 in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.17M in tracked volume across 597 events.
- The market saw an unusually large pre-game volume spike, and this wallet was trading size around the Spurs at 64–66¢.
$15,758 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial high-volume cross-market trader with a long profitable history is taking a Timberwolves position at 35¢ despite only a modest standalone signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,749 resolved bets, 61% wins, and about $357K in profit.
- They have traded 112 events and over $50M in total volume, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Entry at 35¢ implies they see the Timberwolves as meaningfully undervalued versus the market.
$1,617 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x6211...b89e — Spurs, $801,599 (51% win rate)
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Timberwolves, $800,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Timberwolves, $44,621 (61% win rate)
- 0x3eeb...c387 — Spurs, $23,083 (61% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Timberwolves, $6,341 (44% win rate)
- 0x1418...6fef — Spurs, $4,100 (47% win rate)
- 0x1b47...d814 — Spurs, $4,020 (48% win rate)
- 0x3b1f...63f7 — Timberwolves, $3,304
- 0x58b5...150c — Spurs, $3,077
- 0x76b4...ca9b — Spurs, $3,000 (58% win rate)
