Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $204,763.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Six-wallet Navi cluster, sharp bettor

A six-wallet $114K Natus Vincere cluster includes a bettor with a reported 96% win rate and substantial edge, although the main trade price has since fallen and opposing Spirit flow adds uncertainty.

  • Six wallets put about $114K on Natus Vincere, alongside a bettor reported to have won 96% of 1,021 positions.
  • Natus Vincere buys were mostly around 59–60¢, but current odds are 52%; another group also bet Spirit, so the signal is not unanimous.
  • The largest wallet already holds substantial positions on both teams, making this a less clear-cut directional bet.

$114,233 on Natus Vincere

Nine-wallet Spirit push with sharp money

A $133k nine-wallet Spirit buy and a major volume spike are reinforced by a trader with 82 wins at 54% average odds, though $44k of opposing Natus Vincere buying tempers the signal.

  • Nine wallets put a combined $133k on Spirit, with several already adding to sizable positions.
  • One buyer is 82-for-82 with a $1.84M profit and an average winning entry price of 54%.
  • Trading spiked to 103.5 times its historical average, but a separate three-wallet group bought $44k of Natus Vincere.

$23,538 on Spirit

Proven 78% winner backs Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with 1,816 resolved trades and a serial cross-market record bought Spirit, with a volume spike providing additional support.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 1,816 resolved trades and is up $541,821.
  • They have traded across 87 events, and Spirit saw a 20x volume spike versus its historical average.
  • The wallet bought Spirit at 70¢, matching the current market price.

$1,473 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

98% winner backs Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record across 547 resolved positions and activity across 220 events bought Spirit at 70%.

  • This bettor has won 535 of 547 resolved positions and is up $374,157.
  • A serial cross-market trader active across 220 events is backing Spirit at 70¢.

$1,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% winner makes a $64K Spirit bet

A proven, highly profitable bettor placed a $64,019 Spirit wager, more than twice the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 304 of 318 resolved positions and earned $5.3M in profit.
  • The $64,019 Spirit bet is more than twice the market's 24-hour volume.
  • They entered at 69¢, below the current 70¢ odds, after trading across 207 events.

$64,019 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe40e...9770 — Spirit, $125,000 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x4d6e...5cfd — Spirit, $100,000 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xfbf3...b218 — Spirit, $62,037 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xe787...5034 — Spirit, $54,430 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xe2d0...7bbf — Spirit, $48,179 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x8861...39f7 — Spirit, $46,882 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x0259...769e — Spirit, $42,419 (99% win rate)
  8. 0xdad3...61cf — Spirit, $28,256 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xed44...4f76 — Spirit, $22,499 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x88d1...18da — Spirit, $21,750 (67% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$204,763 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
0¢
Natus Vincere
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere”
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

2026-10-28 16:56 UTC

$114,233 on Natus Vincere at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

2026-10-28 18:18 UTC

$23,538 on Spirit at 70¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

2026-10-28 14:51 UTC

$1,473 on Spirit at 70¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

2026-10-28 14:25 UTC

$1,500 on Spirit at 70¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

2026-10-28 07:05 UTC

$64,019 on Spirit at 69¢

Related Theses