Part of: National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,404.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors lead Kecmanovic cluster
Four wallets placed $7.1K on Kecmanovic, including two highly profitable bettors, amid a 687x volume spike and a sharp market move.
- Two established bettors are involved: one wins 79% across 268 bets with $702K profit, while another wins 77% across 217 bets.
- Four wallets committed $7,134 to Kecmanovic, with the market moving from roughly 42% to 62% after the flow.
- The trade entered around 47¢ on average, implying substantial upside if Kecmanovic's current 62% price remains justified.
$5,843 on Miomir Kecmanovic
Sharp serial bettor backs Kecmanovic
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge made a contrarian $2,170 tennis wager amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 268 resolved positions and is up $702,269 lifetime.
- A $2,170 wager on Miomir Kecmanovic was placed at 49% despite the market currently pricing him near 39%.
- The market saw a 974x historical volume spike, adding weight to the otherwise contrarian position.
$2,170 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 75%
Early Zheng position amid volume spike
A sharp-looking volume spike and profitable early entry support this added position, though the wallet's long-term record is only modestly above break-even.
- The trader bought Michael Zheng at 54¢, while the market now prices him at 61¢.
- Trading volume was 974 times the historical average, suggesting an unusual surge of interest before the match.
- This wallet has made 1,637 resolved bets and is up $883, though its 56% win rate is only moderately strong.
$1,268 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 59%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.5M lifetime profit made a concentrated $19.1K bet on Kecmanovic despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has won 166 of 173 resolved trades, with $6.5M in lifetime profit.
- They concentrated $19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 48–50%, despite the market now pricing him at 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 626 markets and 584 events, suggesting an unusually active, experienced bettor rather than a one-off position.
$30,989 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 38%
Four bettors scaling into Michael Zheng
Four experienced bettors added $5.6k to Michael Zheng, including a highly profitable 76% winner with a substantial edge, while the price rose from 55-59% to 64%.
- Four wallets added $5,621 to Michael Zheng at 55-59%, and all already held positions on the same outcome.
- One bettor wins 76% of 133 bets at average odds of 58% and is up $81,318.
- The market has since moved to 64%, corroborating the coordinated buying conviction.
$7,740 on Michael Zheng
Proven bettor scaling into Zheng
A proven, profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to Michael Zheng at 55% amid an extraordinary volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of 133 resolved trades and is up $81,318 lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Michael Zheng position at 55%, below the current 60% market price.
- Trading volume was 1,366 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong attention around the match.
$1,200 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 79%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and $6.5M lifetime profit made a concentrated $19.1K bet on Kecmanovic despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has won 166 of 173 resolved trades, with $6.5M in lifetime profit.
- They concentrated $19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 48–50%, despite the market now pricing him at 44%.
- The wallet has traded across 626 markets and 584 events, suggesting an unusually active, experienced bettor rather than a one-off position.
$19,106 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 38%
Proven bettor scales into Zheng
A proven high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and positive edge is adding $4,088 to an existing Michael Zheng position at 58%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 220 resolved trades and is up $360,406 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,088 to an existing Michael Zheng position despite the market sitting slightly below their 58¢ entry.
- The trade is unusually large relative to the market’s $3,233 in 24-hour volume.
$4,088 on Michael Zheng | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xca97...49f6 — Outcome 86123504, $13,241 (83% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 86123504, $6,056 (77% win rate)
- 0x088b...21cc — Outcome 86123504, $4,547 (50% win rate)
- 0x7300...e52c — Outcome 86123504, $3,732
- 0xa042...cba4 — Outcome 86123504, $3,700 (90% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 86123504, $3,510 (94% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 86123504, $2,028 (79% win rate)
- 0x00c8...9ccd — Outcome 86123504, $1,381 (79% win rate)
- 0xa1a4...190e — Outcome 86123504, $1,316
- 0x2542...7821 — Outcome 86123504, $1,227 (88% win rate)
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