This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $39.5K lifetime. They bought No at 64¢ on a market resolving today, suggesting a strong short-term BTC view. The No side had broken sharply above its prior range, though it has since pulled back to 56¢.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 14?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,152.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable crypto serial trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with large history is buying Yes after major BTC odds momentum, though signal strength is moderate.

This bettor has traded 1,816 resolved markets and is up about $365K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M deployed across 137 events.
Bitcoin odds jumped 33 points in the past day, and this trade adds $3.4K on the Yes side at 76¢.

$3,419 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

93% winner buying No

Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved-bet record bought No on a near-term Bitcoin market, despite the trade being modest in size.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $39.5K lifetime.
They bought No at 64¢ on a market resolving today, suggesting a strong short-term BTC view.
The No side had broken sharply above its prior range, though it has since pulled back to 56¢.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial crypto bettor

Profitable serial cross-market wallet with $348K lifetime P&L bought No as the market moved sharply against Yes, though the trade size is modest relative to volume.

This bettor has traded 243 related markets across 137 events and is up $348K lifetime.
They bought No at 61¢ after a sharp move from the prior 37¢ range, signaling a clear view against Bitcoin finishing above $80K.
The position is modest, but the wallet’s long track record makes the directional bet worth tracking.

$1,632 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0x395e...4d5d — Outcome 10712157, $4,341
0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 10712157, $2,341
0x6967...84bf — Outcome 10712157, $2,325 (93% win rate)
0xfdf3...2583 — Outcome 10712157, $2,181
0x26e2...1a63 — Outcome 10712157, $1,474
0x6eef...bd6b — Outcome 10712157, $1,405
0xbc00...3868 — Outcome 10712157, $1,000
0xa229...0b73 — Outcome 10712157, $934
0x27e1...8fd2 — Outcome 10712157, $871
0x6f2a...de7d — Outcome 10712157, $800

Related Theses

Covers 9 related markets

Bitcoin trades between $75K and $85K

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin stays between $76K-$80K

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

ResolvedBitcoin above ___ on May 14?$6,152 tracked3 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

60¢

17¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction