Part of: CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,325.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor exits Yes into rally

A highly profitable 79% bettor sold Yes while three wallets committed $15,259 to No, although the action appears partly profit-taking and the cluster is mixed in quality.

A bettor with a 79% win rate and $1.52M profit sold Yes at 56¢, equivalent to buying No at 44¢.
Three wallets put $15,259 behind No, while the market saw a 45.7x volume spike.
The sharp bettor already held Yes from 40¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh bearish position.

$15,259 on No

Three-wallet Yes cluster surges

A three-wallet Yes cluster, 45.7x volume surge, and 18.7% price jump make this a notable coordinated position despite the lead wallet adding to an existing holding.

Three wallets bought Yes together for $10,830, signaling concentrated conviction on Toluca.
Trading volume surged 45.7x above its recent average while Yes rose 18.7%.
The lead bettor has 606 resolved trades and is up $265,899, though this is an addition to an existing Yes position.

$5,487 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Three sharp bettors add to Yes

Three profitable, high-volume bettors added roughly $10.8K to Yes amid a 798x volume spike and a 30.5-point price surge.

Three bettors with strong records coordinated roughly $10,830 in Yes buys, including one with a 79% win rate at an average 54% entry price.
The buying coincided with a 798x volume spike and a 30.5-point rise in Yes, signaling unusually strong market conviction.
All three wallets already held Yes positions, so this is an increase in conviction rather than entirely new exposure.

$10,830 on Yes

98% winner adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $1,750 to an existing No position at 70¢.

This bettor has won 47 of 48 resolved trades and is up $510,650 overall.
The $1,750 purchase adds to an existing $4,846 No position, signaling continued conviction that Toluca will not win.
The No entry at 70¢ is near the market price, with a tight 1¢ spread and substantial liquidity.

$1,750 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 30212389, $10,000 (67% win rate)
0xb809...2004 — Outcome 30212389, $4,846 (98% win rate)
0x664a...fc5f — Outcome 30212389, $3,999 (48% win rate)
0x6d3c...d294 — Outcome 30212389, $3,814 (51% win rate)
0x912f...b25b — Outcome 30212389, $2,028
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 30212389, $1,623
0x1a59...a57e — Outcome 30212389, $1,372
0x0eca...c56a — Outcome 30212389, $1,226
0x8a80...11c5 — Outcome 30212389, $890 (89% win rate)
0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 30212389, $798 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil-Haiti exceeds four goals

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Palmeiras Chapecoense stays low-scoring

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Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?

ResolvedCD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC$33,325 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLiga MX

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

75¢

71¢

67¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction