Part of: Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,867.

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision specialist

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet is buying Bulgaria Yes across Eurovision-related markets, though the specific signal is only a modest two-market cross-market pattern.

This bettor has a long track record: 823 resolved bets, 68% wins, and $170K lifetime profit.
They have put $7.5K across two markets in the same event, suggesting a clear Eurovision thesis.
This buy is near the current market price at 85¢, after the odds moved up about 3 points today.

$1,288 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

95% winner betting Eurovision

Sharp profitable wallet with a 95% resolved-bet win rate is adding to a broader Eurovision thesis despite this specific trade being modest in size.

This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved bets and is up $65.7K lifetime.
They have placed $37.3K across two markets in this same event, suggesting a broader Eurovision view.
Entry at 85¢ implies they are backing Bulgaria as a strong qualifier despite already-high odds.

$1,186 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable Eurovision timer

Profitable high-volume bettor added a $4.4k Yes position shortly before Eurovision semi-final resolution, with related cross-market positioning and a solid 63% historical win rate.

This bettor is up $45k across more than $1.1M traded, with 81 wins in 129 resolved markets.
They bought $4.4k of Yes at 85¢ less than an hour before resolution, suggesting near-event conviction.
They have $14.3k positioned across two related Eurovision markets, so this looks like a broader thesis.

$4,393 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0x72b4...7d67 — Outcome 79823129, $10,277
0x6bcc...f8b2 — Outcome 79823129, $2,000
0xc817...7980 — Outcome 79823129, $1,091
0xb8ee...9e81 — Outcome 79823129, $930 (60% win rate)
0x6770...45fb — Outcome 79823129, $914 (59% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 79823129, $729
0x41f0...3eeb — Outcome 79823129, $718
0x8bd7...047a — Outcome 79823129, $431
0x604a...d5f8 — Outcome 79823129, $257
0x6e3f...32a4 — Outcome 79823129, $238

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

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Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests

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Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

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Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

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Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

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Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final$6,867 tracked3 signalsEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.