Part of: Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,360.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable contrarian tennis bet

A proven profitable cross-market trader with nearly $370k in profits just bought Medvedev into a fast 22.5-point price drop, suggesting a deliberate contrarian entry worth watching.

  • This bettor has 215 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $369k overall.
  • They bought Medvedev at 39¢ right as the price fell 22.5 points in under 3 minutes.
  • Entry at 39¢ means they are betting against a market now pricing Medvedev at just 26%.

$3,700 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable dip buyer

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought Medvedev right after a sharp 22.5-point drop, suggesting a deliberate buy-the-dip entry.

  • This bettor has 215 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $369k overall
  • They bought Medvedev at 27¢ right after the price fell 22.5 points in 3 minutes
  • The market is liquid, so this looks more like a selective value entry than random thin-market noise

$1,300 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $401k profit is making another event-driven bet, making this trade worth tracking despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $401k across 807 resolved bets
  • They have traded 58 separate events for $140k, showing a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off swing
  • They bought Daniil Medvedev at 59¢, a level that now looks much better with the market at 42¢

$1,469 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor joins 4-wallet pile-in

A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate bought Medvedev at 52¢ alongside 3 other wallets during an unusually large pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and has made about $4.7M in profit.
  • Four wallets all bought Medvedev, with $24.4k total backing the same side.
  • They entered at 52¢ during a 79.5x volume spike, suggesting strong conviction before the match.

$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 87%

10-wallet funded cluster

A 10-wallet funded cluster is repeatedly backing the same side in a large coordinated buy on Medvedev, led here by a new wallet making a near-$6k entry during a major volume spike.

  • 10 linked wallets share the same funder, and 4 of them piled into the same side for $24.4k total
  • This wallet is new and already making a $5.96k buy, a pattern that often signals strong conviction
  • The market saw a 79.5x volume spike, which lines up with this coordinated move into Medvedev

$5,960 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 100%

3-wallet Cobolli rush

Three wallets piled into Cobolli as his price surged from 38-41¢ to 100%, suggesting fast coordinated momentum around a match-changing update despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling nearly $9k as Cobolli ran from 38-41¢ to 100¢
  • The market saw a 27x volume spike and a 49-point price jump, which usually means traders were reacting to a major live match update
  • One wallet in the cluster is a large longtime bettor with over $113k lifetime profit, adding some credibility to the move

$8,981 on Flavio Cobolli

5-wallet linked Medvedev push

Five wallets, including three linked by funding, piled $51k into Medvedev during a major volume spike and sharp repricing, signaling coordinated conviction despite mixed individual track records.

  • Five wallets put $51k on Medvedev in minutes, and 3 of them share a funder.
  • The market saw a 55x volume spike and a rapid repricing during this buying wave.
  • One wallet in the cluster wins 80% of its resolved bets, while the biggest buyer is up $266k lifetime.

$51,128 on Daniil Medvedev

91% win-rate bettor

A bettor with a 91% win rate and strong edge is buying Medvedev at near-even odds, making this a credible sharp follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $4.9k on $16.1k invested
  • They bought Medvedev at 52¢, close to a coin flip, which suggests they see clear value rather than chasing a heavy favorite
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this looks like a deliberate sharp entry instead of noise from a thin book

$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate linked bettor

A highly profitable sports trader with a 95% win rate and a linked-wallet footprint bought Flavio Cobolli at 46¢, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up $232k on $455k invested.
  • They bought Flavio Cobolli at 46¢, implying they think the underdog is mispriced.
  • This wallet is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster and has made sharp bets across 34 events.

$4,126 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettor backs underdog

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.5M P&L is buying Cobolli at 46¢, making this a credible sharp position despite only a moderate alert score.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,608 resolved trades and is up $6.5M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across related events at scale, with over $10.3M flagged in 1,335 markets.
  • They bought Flavio Cobolli at 46¢, a clear underdog price that suggests they see the match closer to a coin flip or better.

$2,374 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 90354743, $42,783 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xc58d...9373 Outcome 90354743, $12,692 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x1980...67d8 Outcome 90354743, $11,245 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xde19...3c92 Outcome 90354743, $9,500 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xa82a...a759 Outcome 90354743, $8,564 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 90354743, $7,500 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x2509...e4db Outcome 90354743, $5,713 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x63a5...8e33 Outcome 90354743, $5,356 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xdf07...e601 Outcome 90354743, $5,310
  10. 0xe394...289c Outcome 90354743, $4,007 (85% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

ResolvedMadrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli$95,360 tracked12 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$3,700 on Daniil Medvedev at 39¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$1,300 on Daniil Medvedev at 27¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$1,469 on Daniil Medvedev at 59¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev at 52¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$5,960 on Daniil Medvedev at 53¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$8,981 on Flavio Cobolli at 87¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$51,128 on Daniil Medvedev at 58¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

19d ago

$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev at 52¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

20d ago

$4,126 on Flavio Cobolli at 46¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

20d ago

$2,374 on Flavio Cobolli at 46¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

20d ago

$11,200 on Daniil Medvedev at 56¢

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

20d ago

$1,123 on Daniil Medvedev at 54¢

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