Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
This Polymarket market covers the best-of-five League of Legends LPL Play-In match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming, scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $16,429 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts highlighting notable LGD buying and favorite-fading activity. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, or 50-50 if it is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,724.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite serial trader exits favorite
Surfaced because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate, though the trade appears to be closing a prior Weibo position rather than opening fresh LGD exposure.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $599K lifetime.
- They have traded across 153 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Weibo at 52¢ is equivalent to backing LGD at 48¢, despite the market currently pricing LGD lower.
$1,375 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
Coordinated LGD momentum
Three wallets are effectively buying LGD into a major pre-match volume surge and sharp price move, making this a momentum/flow alert despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets put $9.4K on LGD through direct buys and equivalent Weibo sells.
- Market volume spiked 12.3x before the match, with Weibo’s price down 47 points in 1 day.
- Entry around 54¢ suggests they are backing LGD as a modest favorite after a major odds swing.
$9,446 on LGD Gaming
Profitable serial esports sharp
Sharp profitable esports bettor with a 77% long-term win record bought Weibo alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $96.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 84 events with the same 77% win record.
- Three wallets bought Weibo in the same window, totaling $13.5K amid a 12.3x volume spike.
$2,474 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate and $657k lifetime profit is buying LGD despite the price slipping afterward.
- This bettor has won 72% of 864 resolved bets and is up $657k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 135 events and $1.48M in detected volume.
- Buying LGD at 58¢ suggests a confident lean despite a very liquid, active market.
$2,147 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial esports sharps on LGD
High-scoring LGD cluster led by profitable serial cross-market esports bettors, including wallets with 84% and 72% historical win rates, amid a major odds move toward LGD.
- Several proven bettors are aligned on LGD, including one who wins 84% of resolved bets and is up about $599k.
- Four wallets put $16.1k on the same side, converting both LGD buys and Weibo sells into an LGD position.
- The market has moved sharply toward LGD, with Weibo down 43 points over the past day.
$16,112 on LGD Gaming
91% winner fading favorite
A proven 91% winner with strong lifetime profit sold LGD after a massive price move, alongside one-sided Weibo flow, though this may partly be profit-taking from an earlier LGD position.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $80K lifetime.
- They sold $8.3K of LGD after its big run, effectively taking the Weibo side around 32¢.
- Four wallets have moved the same way on Weibo, with market volume spiking 45x above normal.
$8,316 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% winner buying LGD
Surface: a highly profitable 96% lifetime bettor bought LGD, with linked-wallet context and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $188,667 lifetime.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this side.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 32.7x above its historical average before the match.
$1,014 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp trader joins Weibo cluster
High-scoring Weibo buy cluster includes a proven 77% winner and serial cross-market trader, with four wallets putting $14.5k on the same side after a sharp price drop.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $96.8k is buying Weibo.
- Four wallets put $14.5k on the same side within minutes, all effectively backing Weibo.
- Volume is running 15x above normal while Weibo has fallen 45% in a day, suggesting a coordinated buy-the-dip move.
$14,545 on Weibo Gaming
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp esports/cross-market bettor with a 76% long-run win rate and $91.7k profit bought Weibo at 67¢ amid a major volume spike and price drop.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $91.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 84 events tracked and the same 76% win rate.
- They bought Weibo at 67¢ after a sharp 1-day price drop, suggesting a contrarian read on the move.
$2,500 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Weibo after a sharp pre-match price drop amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 278 resolved bets and is up $65.8K lifetime.
- They bought Weibo at 67¢ after its price fell about 16 percentage points.
- The market saw a 49x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before the match.
$1,340 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xc44f...d49f — Weibo Gaming, $42,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — LGD Gaming, $40,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x500f...94bf — Weibo Gaming, $22,396 (70% win rate)
- 0x0bf8...03b2 — Weibo Gaming, $20,979 (55% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Weibo Gaming, $20,058 (57% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — LGD Gaming, $20,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xb589...91e3 — LGD Gaming, $16,465 (87% win rate)
- 0x6ade...f5b0 — Weibo Gaming, $15,867 (50% win rate)
- 0x4b8f...de20 — LGD Gaming, $14,993 (94% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — LGD Gaming, $14,195 (59% win rate)
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