Part of: Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl
Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Liam Draxl in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,396.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader amid sharp move
A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Liam Draxl at 50¢ as the market moved sharply in that direction, though the wallet’s win rate alone does not establish an edge.
- This trader has over 59,000 resolved bets and is up $6.25M lifetime.
- They bought Liam Draxl at 50¢, alongside a reported 35-point price rise in Draxl’s odds.
- The wallet trades across thousands of events, but its 55% win rate is not strong evidence of an edge by itself.
$1,007 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 55%
Four-wallet Draxl buying cluster
Four wallets bought Liam Draxl for about $10,049 amid a 12.1x volume spike and a reported 30-point price rise, making the coordinated flow notable despite mixed wallet records.
- Four wallets put about $10,049 behind Liam Draxl in the same direction.
- The alert coincided with a 12.1x volume spike and a reported 30-point rise in Draxl’s price.
- Wallet histories are mixed: two show large lifetime profits, while another is substantially down overall.
$10,049 on Liam Draxl
Profitable serial trader, but price reversed
A massively experienced trader with $8.66M lifetime profit bought Liam Draxl as the market moved sharply, though the price has since fallen well below their entry.
- This trader is up $8.66M across more than 134,000 resolved bets.
- They bought Liam Draxl at 74¢ during a reported 31-point price rise, but the current odds are 48%, well below their entry.
$1,277 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 70%
Winning bettor adds to tennis favorite
A bettor with an 84% win rate and positive returns added to Tomas Machac as a volume spike and sharp price rise supported the position.
- This bettor has won 84% of 64 resolved trades and is up $1,174.
- They added another $2,063 to Tomas Machac as the market saw a 21.5× volume spike and a 22-point price rise.
$2,063 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Tomas Machac, $9,417 (61% win rate)
- 0x9cf0...8b2b — Tomas Machac, $3,354 (79% win rate)
- 0x73d4...dbd6 — Tomas Machac, $1,852 (72% win rate)
- 0x1c70...caf0 — Tomas Machac, $1,136 (98% win rate)
- 0x71a4...4a39 — Tomas Machac, $700
- 0xfea6...b795 — Tomas Machac, $637 (68% win rate)
- 0x8975...ca9c — Tomas Machac, $562 (52% win rate)
- 0x93da...ac64 — Tomas Machac, $560 (62% win rate)
- 0x9694...b7ad — Tomas Machac, $504
- 0x9079...b19b — Tomas Machac, $488 (74% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
