Part of: Colombia vs. Ghana - More Markets
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,248.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable cluster buying underdog
Three wallets made a coordinated contrarian Ghana bet, led by a profitable wallet up $363k lifetime and supported by serial cross-market activity.
- A profitable bettor led the move with $9.9k on Ghana and is up $363k lifetime.
- Three wallets all took the Ghana side within 11 minutes for $12.5k total.
- Entry around 10¢ is a contrarian underdog bet against a market pricing Colombia near 92%.
$12,465 on Ghana
Coordinated Ghana underdog buyers
Four wallets are coordinating on Ghana at long-shot odds, including profitable cross-market sports bettors and a new wallet already up $44k.
- Four wallets bought $18.8k of Ghana at 8–10¢ despite Colombia being priced near 90%.
- One buyer is a new repeat whale already up $44k, with $190k flagged across recent large bets.
- Several wallets have broad cross-market sports activity, including one with a 72% record across 401 resolved bets.
$16,294 on Ghana
95% winner backing favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Colombia amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved bets and is up $1,063 lifetime.
- They bought Colombia at 81¢ shortly before the match, despite an already liquid market.
- Market volume is running 33.8x above its historical average, supporting the move.
$2,253 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp serial bettor on underdog
Sharp serial sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian Ghana position at 19¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $20.7K lifetime.
- They have traded across 57 events with an 82% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Ghana at 19¢ is a contrarian underdog position against an 82% Colombia market price.
$1,500 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 83%
97% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 97% historical win rate and positive P&L is buying Colombia at 82¢ in a liquid World Cup market.
- This bettor has won 61 of 63 resolved trades and is up about $12,000 lifetime.
- They are buying Colombia at 82¢, adding a high-conviction favorite position.
- Their past wins came at average odds of 57¢, suggesting a strong track record beyond just backing heavy favorites.
$2,300 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 97%
New profitable wallet buying Colombia
A 19-hour-old wallet with early profits is making repeat large sports bets, adding $3.4k to Colombia amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This brand-new wallet is already up $2,018 after winning its first 2 resolved bets.
- It has now been flagged 3 times in under a day, with $6,852 total in notable positions.
- Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume running about 70x above its historical pace.
$3,378 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable underdog whale
A highly profitable wallet put $10k on Ghana amid a large pre-event volume spike, creating a plausible sharp underdog signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This wallet is up $709k lifetime despite mostly betting lower-probability outcomes.
- They put $10k on Ghana at 23¢, backing the underdog before the match.
- Market volume spiked sharply pre-event, with Ghana moving against Colombia’s prior edge.
$5,835 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 33%
92% winner buying favorite
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and positive P&L adding a $2.5k Colombia position despite only moderate alert severity.
- This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved trades and is up $3,781 lifetime.
- They put $2.5k on Colombia at 81¢, backing the already-favored side.
- The wallet has been flagged multiple times before, suggesting a repeat sharp rather than a one-off bet.
$2,381 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable 80% sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with 558 resolved bets buying Colombia despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $75.6K lifetime.
- Their 558-bet track record beats average market odds by about 16 percentage points.
- They bought Colombia at 81¢, backing the favorite in a liquid World Cup market.
$1,222 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable new repeat bettor
A 20-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is adding a $4k Colombia position despite the market already pricing Colombia as a strong favorite.
- This 20-day-old wallet is already up $7.1k across recent Polymarket bets.
- They have been flagged 5 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $22.5k.
- Entry at 81¢ shows confidence in Colombia even after the market moved to 80% odds.
$4,000 on Colombia | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 72240461, $950,001 (73% win rate)
- 0xc8ec...e8f1 — Outcome 72240461, $153,737 (33% win rate)
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 72240461, $100,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 72240461, $100,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x20d6...3856 — Outcome 72240461, $87,253 (50% win rate)
- 0x4154...e7a8 — Outcome 72240461, $50,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 72240461, $49,123
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 72240461, $32,778 (77% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 72240461, $19,240
- 0x51ba...bc23 — Outcome 72240461, $11,595 (36% win rate)
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