Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
Games Total: O/U 3.5
This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Karmine Corp and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Karmine Corp and MVK Esports play 4 or more games in this series. If fewer than 4 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,394.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports, LoL Worlds 2026, Play-in
Notable Trades
Serial trader adds to Under
A prolific cross-market trader added to an existing Under position as its price moved sharply beyond its historical range, though the trader’s win rate is close to their average winning odds.
- The Under price surged from its historical 46–47¢ range to about 82¢, a substantial move in the same direction as this trade.
- This trader has resolved 246 bets with an 80% win rate and has traded across 56 events.
- They added $1,500 to an existing Under position; their 81¢ average winning price suggests the track record alone does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 74%
Three-wallet Under cluster with a proven winner
Three wallets added $16.6K to Under, including a historically profitable trader with a $1.8M lifetime profit, though the market price is close to their entry.
- Three wallets bought Under for a combined $16,586, with two adding to existing positions.
- One bettor in the group wins 64% of 2,753 resolved bets and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- Entries were around 46–47¢, close to the current 46¢ odds.
$16,586 on Under
Profitable serial trader buying Over
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% record made a $14,000 Over bet amid a 113.7x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 67% of 371 resolved trades and is up $4.9M.
- They put $14,000 on Over at 54¢ as market volume spiked 113.7x above average.
- They also bet $22,000 on MVK Esports, showing substantial conviction across the match.
$36,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%
95% winner adding to Over
A proven bettor with 95% wins across 64 resolved positions is adding $2,308 to an existing Over position at 56¢.
- This bettor has won 61 of 64 resolved positions and is up $5,947.
- They added $2,308 to an existing Over position at 56¢, showing increased conviction.
- The bet is on a LoL series total, with the Over requiring at least four games.
$2,308 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x8a86...4998 — Over, $25,926 (67% win rate)
- 0xe1bd...f159 — Over, $18,037 (100% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Over, $10,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xec54...e8c1 — Over, $6,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xdaec...086a — Over, $4,132 (95% win rate)
- 0x12e7...39a0 — Over, $1,334 (61% win rate)
- 0xf56d...c3d9 — Over, $1,114 (58% win rate)
- 0xb9b2...8e7d — Over, $1,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x332e...fd5d — Over, $966 (39% win rate)
- 0xec18...89eb — Over, $728 (74% win rate)
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