Part of: World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,310.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup, FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

New wallet in thin book

New repeat wallet bought an oversized Yes position in a very thin Japan World Cup elimination market, though it has no resolved track record and the mark has moved against the entry.

  • A new repeat wallet has now had $4.4k in large bets flagged across thin markets.
  • This $2.3k Yes buy was oversized for the market, with a wide 32-point spread and only about $1.4k liquidity.
  • Entry averaged about 47¢, while the market is now around 20¢, so this is a high-conviction but unproven position.

$2,310 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 70888459, $16,628
  2. 0x9868...64b0 — Outcome 96541477, $11,085 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xd914...0d9a — Outcome 96541477, $4,623 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xf0b2...b501 — Outcome 96541477, $2,583 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xf558...683f — Outcome 96541477, $978
  6. 0xfc07...0685 — Outcome 96541477, $868
  7. 0xbfc0...ab69 — Outcome 96541477, $719
  8. 0x5107...4281 — Outcome 96541477, $696
  9. 0x3a38...ada9 — Outcome 96541477, $534
  10. 0x9706...bc33 — Outcome 96541477, $497 (85% win rate)

Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination$2,310 tracked1 signalSportsSoccer2026 FIFA World CupFIFA World CupStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

60d ago

$2,310 on Yes at 47¢