Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,275.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

3-wallet momentum cluster

Three wallets piled into Top Esports just before a 37-point price surge in a fast-moving esports market, including one buy at 50¢ that quickly went to 100¢.

  • Three wallets all bet Top Esports within minutes, and the price jumped 37 points right after.
  • One bettor bought at 50¢ and another at 73¢, both now marked at 100¢ within the same session.
  • Two of the wallets win 80%+ of their bets, which adds some credibility to the move even if profits are modest.

$4,987 on Top Esports

Profitable bettor buying reversal

A profitable wallet bought Top Esports right after a sharp market swing amid an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction worth watching.

  • This bettor is up $21k on Polymarket with a 64% win rate across 33 resolved trades.
  • They bought Top Esports at 52¢ after a 146x pre-match volume spike and a fast 17-point move in under 5 minutes.
  • The trade is meaningful at $5.9k, though it came in a very liquid market so the edge looks more timing-based than size-based.

$5,914 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp 6-wallet BLG cluster

Six wallets piled into Bilibili Gaming around 48-50¢, including one with a 93% win rate and several profitable serial cross-market traders, creating strong coordinated flow worth surfacing.

  • Six wallets bought Bilibili Gaming in minutes for $18.9k total, showing clear one-sided conviction.
  • One wallet wins 93% of 605 resolved bets and is up $610k, while several others are profitable across dozens of events.
  • They entered around 48-50¢ in a market that had an 11.3x volume spike, suggesting informed interest before the match.

$18,897 on Bilibili Gaming

6-wallet esports pile-in

Six wallets piled nearly $22k into Bilibili Gaming at 48-49¢ during a sharp pre-match volume surge, and at least two are high-volume cross-market bettors with profitable or durable track records.

  • Six wallets bought the same side in minutes, putting nearly $22k on Bilibili Gaming around 48-49¢.
  • Two of the wallets are very active event traders across 200+ events with 66-68% win rates, suggesting this is not random flow.
  • The market saw a 62.8x volume spike and a fast 17-point move right before these trades, showing strong momentum into this side.

$21,891 on Bilibili Gaming

New whale on volume spike

A brand-new wallet made a $24.9k bet on Bilibili Gaming during a nearly 98x volume spike, a sizable fresh position worth tracking even in a liquid market.

  • A new wallet with no resolved history just put $24.9k on Bilibili Gaming in one trade
  • The market saw a 97.9x jump in activity, suggesting multiple traders started positioning at once
  • They bought at 80¢, showing strong confidence even after Bilibili Gaming became a heavy favorite

$24,850 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

96% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 96% win rate bought the underdog in a heavily active market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M across 358 settled positions.
  • They bought Top Esports at 21¢, a cheap underdog price that implies they see a much better chance than the market does.
  • This wallet trades across hundreds of event markets and the match saw a 182x volume spike before start.

$2,483 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 69%

84% win-rate esports sharp

A very profitable high-volume sports bettor with an 84% win rate and $3.75M P&L made a $37.7k bet on Bilibili Gaming, a meaningful signal even in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 1,404 resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime
  • They've traded 199 markets across 132 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They just put $37.7k on Bilibili Gaming at 77¢, a bet equal to 68% of this market's 24h volume

$37,663 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable new wallet repeats

A 10-day-old wallet with 13 prior large-bet alerts, early profits, and a perfect 7-for-7 resolved record is continuing to size into a liquid esports favorite.

  • This 10-day-old wallet has already been flagged 13 times and is up $7.5k.
  • It has won all 7 of its resolved bets so far, suggesting early betting skill rather than random activity.
  • The bettor bought Bilibili Gaming at 77¢ in a reasonably liquid market, adding another sizable position behind a strong favorite.

$1,843 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable bettor leans favorite

A profitable high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate made a sizable buy that took over half of this market’s recent volume, making it modestly worth surfacing despite the low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up about $481k across nearly 1,000 resolved bets
  • Their $2.7k buy made up 56% of this market’s recent volume, showing meaningful conviction
  • They bought Bilibili Gaming at 79¢ in a match market with decent liquidity and a tight 1¢ spread

$2,748 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 22280738, $104,948 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x3993...cded Outcome 22280738, $42,282 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xf928...8016 Outcome 22280738, $31,063 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xeffd...5a86 Outcome 22280738, $11,018 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x1835...b828 Outcome 22280738, $10,048 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x9671...3a70 Outcome 22280738, $8,888
  7. 0xbbf3...aa3a Outcome 22280738, $6,609 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xdd54...b245 Outcome 22280738, $5,506 (71% win rate)
  9. 0xf7e3...22cb Outcome 22280738, $3,860 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x1461...30a1 Outcome 22280738, $3,500 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$121,275 tracked9 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 16 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$4,987 on Top Esports at 62¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$5,914 on Top Esports at 52¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$18,897 on Bilibili Gaming at 49¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$21,891 on Bilibili Gaming at 49¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$24,850 on Bilibili Gaming at 80¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

27d ago

$2,483 on Top Esports at 21¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

28d ago

$37,663 on Bilibili Gaming at 77¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

28d ago

$1,843 on Bilibili Gaming at 77¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

28d ago

$2,748 on Bilibili Gaming at 79¢

Related Theses