What is the Tigers vs. Guardians prediction market?

It is a sports prediction market on whether the Detroit Tigers or Cleveland Guardians will win their upcoming MLB game.

When does the Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed. The game is scheduled for September 6 at 1:40 PM ET, with the listed resolution date of September 13, 2026.

What happens if the Tigers-Guardians game is postponed?

If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is played. If it is canceled with no makeup game, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

Which team is smart money backing in this market?

Recent smart money alerts show sharp activity backing the Cleveland Guardians, including a sharp cluster and a high-win-rate serial bettor.

Part of: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

This Polymarket market covers the upcoming Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for September 6 at 1:40 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. Smart money activity currently includes $12,103 tracked across one signal, with recent sharp activity favoring Cleveland.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $276,236.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster backed Cleveland

A large Cleveland position was supported by coordinated flow and several highly profitable bettors, including a 92% historical winner, though the market has already resolved.

Eleven wallets bought Cleveland for $172,000, including a bettor with a 92% win rate across 340 resolved positions.
The largest position was $95,687 at 61¢, while another highly successful wallet bought $6,100 at the same price.
Cleveland has since reached 100%, so the original 61¢ entry is no longer actionable; this is mainly a historical signal to study.

$172,009 on Cleveland Guardians

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly active, profitable bettor with 537 resolved trades and $602K profit bought Cleveland at 55%, which has since risen to 62%.

This bettor has won 72% of 537 resolved trades and is up $602,141 lifetime.
They bought Cleveland at 55¢, and the price has since climbed to 62%.
The $2,440 position reflects fresh conviction in a liquid market, though the entry edge has partly narrowed.

$2,440 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor scales into Cleveland

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and $10.4M lifetime P&L added nearly $96K to an existing Cleveland position at 61¢.

This bettor wins 88% of 604 resolved positions and is up $10.4M lifetime.
They added nearly $96K to an existing Cleveland Guardians position, bringing total investment to about $259K.
The trade drove a 721x historical volume spike, despite the market having substantial liquidity.

$95,687 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 88%

92% win-rate serial sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $6,100 purchase of Cleveland at 61%.

This bettor has won 308 of 334 resolved positions, a 92% win rate, while buying at average odds of just 52%.
The wallet is up $3.01 million across $9.54 million invested and has traded 88 separate events.
The $6,100 Cleveland position was entered at 61¢, broadly matching the current 60% market estimate.

$6,100 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 67236725, $84,166 (94% win rate)
0xb8ef...2864 — Outcome 67236725, $14,898 (80% win rate)
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 67236725, $6,410 (96% win rate)
0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 67236725, $5,000 (54% win rate)
0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 67236725, $3,846 (98% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 67236725, $2,366 (70% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 67236725, $1,911 (71% win rate)
0x0e50...2609 — Outcome 67236725, $1,538 (97% win rate)
0xcba5...cd88 — Outcome 67236725, $1,382 (82% win rate)
0xb357...a4ae — Outcome 67236725, $1,270 (78% win rate)

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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

2dDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$276,236 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 6 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

DET

65-78

Final

CLE

73-71

DET +143CLE -173O/U 7

Venue

Progressive Field, Cleveland

Attendance

32,318

Price History — “Cleveland Guardians”

63¢