Part of: Germany vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5
This Polymarket prediction market covers whether Germany and Curaçao will combine for 4 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup game on June 14 at 1:00 PM ET. The market resolves to Over if the total is at least 4 goals and Under if the match finishes with 3 or fewer goals, with $2,800 in tracked smart money and recent signals favoring Over.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Curaçao, scheduled for June 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Germany and Curaçao combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,404.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable whale event cluster
High-composite sports alert driven by a very profitable high-volume wallet, linked-wallet backing, and broad cross-market positioning on the same game.
- This bettor is up $1.34M lifetime across 77,899 resolved bets.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have put $10.7k behind this market.
- The same group has $86.5k across 7 markets in this game, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,355 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over at 65¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $84,763 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record: 35 events, 49 markets, and $101,696 traded.
- Entry at 65¢ implies they see Over as still mispriced despite a liquid market.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite sports bettor buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $427k lifetime profit bought Over 3.5 at 66¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $427k lifetime.
- They have traded 164 events across 179 markets, with $471k in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 66¢ suggests they still see value despite Over already being favored.
$1,300 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new sports wallet
New profitable wallet is making another sizable Over bet into a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed conviction despite the market being liquid.
- This newer bettor has won 6 of 7 resolved bets and is up about $5k so far.
- They have now triggered 3 large-bet alerts, with $6.1k total flagged across positions.
- Market volume is running 45x above its historical pace, supporting the Over move.
$2,036 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite sports bettor buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $427k lifetime profit bought Over 3.5 at 66¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $427k lifetime.
- They have traded 164 events across 179 markets, with $471k in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 66¢ suggests they still see value despite Over already being favored.
$1,320 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
New wallet, 7-0 start
A 3-day-old repeat large bettor with a 7-0 resolved start is putting meaningful size on Over in a liquid soccer total market.
- This 3-day-old bettor is already 7-for-7 on resolved trades.
- They have now triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling $23.8k in flagged positions.
- The main bet is $7.3k on Over at 66¢, suggesting strong conviction despite a fairly liquid market.
$8,900 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable whale event cluster
High-composite sports alert driven by a very profitable high-volume wallet, linked-wallet backing, and broad cross-market positioning on the same game.
- This bettor is up $1.34M lifetime across 77,899 resolved bets.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have put $10.7k behind this market.
- The same group has $86.5k across 7 markets in this game, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,096 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable whale event cluster
High-composite sports alert driven by a very profitable high-volume wallet, linked-wallet backing, and broad cross-market positioning on the same game.
- This bettor is up $1.34M lifetime across 77,899 resolved bets.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have put $10.7k behind this market.
- The same group has $86.5k across 7 markets in this game, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,784 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable whale event cluster
High-composite sports alert driven by a very profitable high-volume wallet, linked-wallet backing, and broad cross-market positioning on the same game.
- This bettor is up $1.34M lifetime across 77,899 resolved bets.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have put $10.7k behind this market.
- The same group has $86.5k across 7 markets in this game, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,113 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — Under, $45,321 (54% win rate)
- 0x8edd...74d2 — Over, $11,061 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Under, $10,577 (65% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Under, $9,300 (69% win rate)
- 0xdd71...76f1 — Over, $8,895 (86% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Over, $8,891 (53% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Over, $6,994 (47% win rate)
- 0xf7f0...912c — Under, $5,500 (82% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Over, $4,690 (86% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Over, $4,577 (64% win rate)
Related Theses
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