Part of: UEFA Champions League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,235,753.
Categories: Soccer, Champions League, Sports, UCL
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market No flow
High-composite alert from a serial cross-market bettor and three-wallet No-side flow, though the lead wallet's lifetime P&L is negative so this is more of a thesis/flow signal than a proven sharp-wallet copy.
- This bettor has traded 54 markets across 28 events with a 72% hit rate.
- Three wallets are all buying No here, totaling about $11K on the same side.
- This wallet is active across 12 related Champions League markets, suggesting a broader anti-favorite thesis.
$5,739 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Six-wallet No surge
High-score coordinated No flow from 6 wallets drove a major price move against Arsenal, though the best entries were far below the current 56¢ price.
- Six wallets put $29.4k on Arsenal not winning, with most of the money entering near 28¢.
- The trade moved the market hard: Arsenal Yes fell about 31 points while No jumped to 56¢.
- Several wallets have long trading histories with positive profit, including one up about $299k lifetime.
$29,445 on No
91% winner buying Yes
Sharp 91% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is effectively buying Arsenal Yes at 70¢ amid a major volume and price surge.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $326K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $688K deployed across 53 events.
- Selling No at 30¢ is effectively buying Yes at 70¢ after a 29.5-point one-day price move.
$4,702 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
New wallet buying breakout
A 7-day-old repeat bettor is adding to the Arsenal Yes breakout while market volume is spiking and odds have jumped nearly 30 points in a day.
- A brand-new wallet has now placed about $6k in flagged bets and is buying Arsenal at 72¢.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 15.7x normal and Yes up 29.5 points in one day.
- The bettor is entering after a major move, implying conviction that 72¢ is still too low.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
81% winner fading surge
A highly proven bettor with an 81% win rate and $367k lifetime profit is buying Arsenal No after a major price surge, backed by same-direction flow from other wallets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $367k lifetime.
- They are buying No after Arsenal’s Yes price jumped about 30 points in a day.
- Three wallets are all betting the same way, totaling about $4.6k on No.
$1,305 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial bettor fading Arsenal
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Arsenal No alongside one-sided No flow, despite a sharp move toward Yes.
- This bettor has a long track record: 74% wins across 922 resolved bets and nearly $1.95M in profit.
- They are fading a major move, buying No after Arsenal’s Yes price jumped about 30 points in a day.
- Three wallets are all betting the same way on No, totaling about $4.6K.
$1,860 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable whale net NO
A highly profitable wallet with $3.55M lifetime P&L made a net contrarian bet on No amid extreme Champions League market volume and sharp price movement.
- This bettor is up $3.55M lifetime on $45.0M traded, suggesting strong sizing discipline despite a 52% hit rate.
- They bought $11.6k of No after a smaller $2.3k Yes hedge, leaving them strongly tilted against Arsenal.
- The market is moving fast, with 15x–41x volume spikes and Yes up 23 points in the last day.
$13,878 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
34-wallet YES surge
Surface because the strongest signal is coordinated YES buying from 34 wallets, backed by a sharp 1-day price move and heavy pre-resolution volume, despite the flagged wallet trading both sides.
- 34 wallets bought Yes for $202K, with 6 linked by shared funding.
- Yes is up 16 points in a day on nearly $13M of 24h volume.
- The flagged wallet is up $3.6M lifetime, though its own trades were partly hedged.
$16,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
8-wallet Yes wave
Surface: an 8-wallet one-sided flow put $742k on Yes while a young repeat wallet with early profit joined the same Arsenal thesis amid a major volume spike.
- 8 wallets are all betting Yes, totaling about $743k on the same side.
- This young wallet has been repeatedly flagged and is already up $2.6k across 8 positions.
- Market volume spiked 81x while Yes moved up 7% in 24 hours.
$2,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
New whale joins 8-wallet push
An 8-day-old repeat whale joined an 8-wallet one-sided push buying Arsenal Yes, alongside an 81x volume spike and rising odds.
- An 8-day-old wallet bought $19.6k of Yes and has already had $6.3M in flagged bets.
- 8 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $742.8k of Yes flow.
- Market volume is surging 81x above its historical average, with Arsenal’s odds up 7 points today.
$19,569 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x65b5...e82f — Outcome 76184513, $6,777,617 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40207448, $6,012,311
- 0x5e4d...b874 — Outcome 76184513, $3,644,473 (100% win rate)
- 0xa136...97de — Outcome 76184513, $1,096,834 (100% win rate)
- 0xd9c4...6f95 — Outcome 76184513, $505,780 (47% win rate)
- 0x1686...c3f9 — Outcome 76184513, $143,737 (100% win rate)
- 0xd71e...79a1 — Outcome 76184513, $120,991 (100% win rate)
- 0x966c...9b1a — Outcome 76184513, $86,465 (60% win rate)
- 0xf0ea...cbf1 — Outcome 76184513, $82,851
- 0x62a1...f032 — Outcome 76184513, $70,000 (100% win rate)
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