Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
Spread: France (-2.5)
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,756,826.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
88% winner fading France
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win record is effectively backing Iraq against the France -2.5 spread at 57¢.
- This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved bets and is up $4.4K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Iraq at 57¢ by selling France at 43¢.
- France has dropped 11 points today, and this sharp wallet is leaning into that move.
$2,568 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 87%
Proven sports sharp buying
Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with a 79% record and positive lifetime P&L placed a nearly $10k buy on France -2.5.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44,858 lifetime.
- They have traded across 196 events with the same strong 79% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The $9.8k buy at 58¢ is meaningful even in a liquid market and backs France to win by 3+ goals.
$7,862 on France | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp joins 7-wallet Iraq flow
Sharp wallet with a 79% resolved-bet record is exiting France while 7 wallets are aligned on the Iraq side, making the equivalent Iraq buy worth surfacing despite this wallet closing a prior France position.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $7.9K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all backing the Iraq side, totaling $24.6K in same-direction flow.
- Selling France at 43¢ is equivalent to backing Iraq at 57¢, after France dropped 10 points today.
$1,536 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 74%
Perfect-record bettor joins Iraq cluster
Sharp 18-0 bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Iraq alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor has won 18 of 18 resolved bets and is up $37.6K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $24.6K in same-direction flow.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Iraq covering as more likely than the market’s mid-50s price.
$1,578 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor in 7-wallet flow
Sharp 79% winner joined a 7-wallet one-sided push buying Iraq on the France -2.5 spread.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $6.9k lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $24.6k on the same side.
- This wallet put $8.0k in at 57¢, backing Iraq after France’s price fell 10 points today.
$7,987 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 79%
95% winner with linked flow
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $1.23M lifetime profit bought Iraq, alongside 11 same-direction wallets including linked funding.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $30.8K in the same direction.
- Entry at 57¢ backs Iraq to cover while the market has already moved away from France.
$5,666 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 95%
Linked wallets buying same side
Coordinated Iraq buying is notable: four wallets including a linked pair are on the same side, and this serial cross-market trader has also built related positions across the event despite weak lifetime P&L.
- Four wallets are all buying Iraq on the spread, with two funded from the same source.
- This bettor is a heavy cross-market trader with 1,361 resolved bets and a 62% hit rate.
- The entry was 50¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, showing immediate follow-through.
$2,870 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp bettor backs favorite
Sharp bettor with an 87% record bought France -2.5 for $5,000, alongside same-side flow from other wallets, despite the market later moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $17,947 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same France side for nearly $20,000 total.
- They entered at 66¢ while the market is now 42¢, so the thesis is available much cheaper than their fill.
$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 89%
Five-wallet sharp cluster
High-scoring five-wallet cluster is buying Iraq, including multiple proven profitable bettors with 77–95% win records and strong cross-market sports histories.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M is buying the same side.
- Five wallets put $31K on Iraq within minutes, despite this being a very active market.
- Two other profitable bettors in the cluster win 87% and 77% of their resolved trades.
$30,963 on Iraq
Sharp joins Iraq-side cluster
Sharp 82% winner is buying Iraq alongside a major 8-wallet, $1.66M one-sided move and a huge pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
- 8 wallets have all bought Iraq in the same window, totaling $1.66M.
- Entry at 43¢ backs Iraq to keep the game within 2 goals or win outright.
$5,000 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 84010264, $3,531,306 (100% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 84010264, $474,640 (97% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 84010264, $169,027 (65% win rate)
- 0x24c5...c428 — Outcome 84010264, $123,397 (33% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 84010264, $71,425 (79% win rate)
- 0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 84010264, $66,100 (68% win rate)
- 0x99a7...fc82 — Outcome 84010264, $55,555 (63% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 84010264, $50,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 84010264, $38,002 (95% win rate)
- 0xea48...c596 — Outcome 84010264, $29,437 (95% win rate)
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