Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets

Spread: France (-2.5)

30 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,756,826.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

88% winner fading France

Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win record is effectively backing Iraq against the France -2.5 spread at 57¢.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved bets and is up $4.4K lifetime.
  • They are effectively buying Iraq at 57¢ by selling France at 43¢.
  • France has dropped 11 points today, and this sharp wallet is leaning into that move.

$2,568 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 87%

Proven sports sharp buying

Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with a 79% record and positive lifetime P&L placed a nearly $10k buy on France -2.5.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44,858 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 196 events with the same strong 79% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • The $9.8k buy at 58¢ is meaningful even in a liquid market and backs France to win by 3+ goals.

$7,862 on France | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp joins 7-wallet Iraq flow

Sharp wallet with a 79% resolved-bet record is exiting France while 7 wallets are aligned on the Iraq side, making the equivalent Iraq buy worth surfacing despite this wallet closing a prior France position.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $7.9K lifetime.
  • Seven wallets are all backing the Iraq side, totaling $24.6K in same-direction flow.
  • Selling France at 43¢ is equivalent to backing Iraq at 57¢, after France dropped 10 points today.

$1,536 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 74%

Perfect-record bettor joins Iraq cluster

Sharp 18-0 bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Iraq alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 18 of 18 resolved bets and is up $37.6K lifetime.
  • Seven wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $24.6K in same-direction flow.
  • Entry at 57¢ implies they see Iraq covering as more likely than the market’s mid-50s price.

$1,578 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor in 7-wallet flow

Sharp 79% winner joined a 7-wallet one-sided push buying Iraq on the France -2.5 spread.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $6.9k lifetime.
  • Seven wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $24.6k on the same side.
  • This wallet put $8.0k in at 57¢, backing Iraq after France’s price fell 10 points today.

$7,987 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 79%

95% winner with linked flow

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $1.23M lifetime profit bought Iraq, alongside 11 same-direction wallets including linked funding.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
  • 11 wallets are all buying Iraq, totaling $30.8K in the same direction.
  • Entry at 57¢ backs Iraq to cover while the market has already moved away from France.

$5,666 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 95%

Linked wallets buying same side

Coordinated Iraq buying is notable: four wallets including a linked pair are on the same side, and this serial cross-market trader has also built related positions across the event despite weak lifetime P&L.

  • Four wallets are all buying Iraq on the spread, with two funded from the same source.
  • This bettor is a heavy cross-market trader with 1,361 resolved bets and a 62% hit rate.
  • The entry was 50¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, showing immediate follow-through.

$2,870 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp bettor backs favorite

Sharp bettor with an 87% record bought France -2.5 for $5,000, alongside same-side flow from other wallets, despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $17,947 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same France side for nearly $20,000 total.
  • They entered at 66¢ while the market is now 42¢, so the thesis is available much cheaper than their fill.

$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 89%

Five-wallet sharp cluster

High-scoring five-wallet cluster is buying Iraq, including multiple proven profitable bettors with 77–95% win records and strong cross-market sports histories.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M is buying the same side.
  • Five wallets put $31K on Iraq within minutes, despite this being a very active market.
  • Two other profitable bettors in the cluster win 87% and 77% of their resolved trades.

$30,963 on Iraq

Sharp joins Iraq-side cluster

Sharp 82% winner is buying Iraq alongside a major 8-wallet, $1.66M one-sided move and a huge pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
  • 8 wallets have all bought Iraq in the same window, totaling $1.66M.
  • Entry at 43¢ backs Iraq to keep the game within 2 goals or win outright.

$5,000 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9d36...0e68 Outcome 84010264, $3,531,306 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 84010264, $474,640 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 84010264, $169,027 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x24c5...c428 Outcome 84010264, $123,397 (33% win rate)
  5. 0xa6d1...286a Outcome 84010264, $71,425 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xee0b...e6d4 Outcome 84010264, $66,100 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x99a7...fc82 Outcome 84010264, $55,555 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 84010264, $50,000 (99% win rate)
  9. 0x62ca...1760 Outcome 84010264, $38,002 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xea48...c596 Outcome 84010264, $29,437 (95% win rate)

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Spread: France (-2.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Iraq - More Markets$1,756,826 tracked30 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iraq". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Iraq
58¢
50¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$2,568 on Iraq at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$7,862 on France at 58¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,536 on Iraq at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,578 on Iraq at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$7,987 on Iraq at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$5,666 on Iraq at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$2,870 on Iraq at 50¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$5,000 on France at 66¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$30,963 on Iraq at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$5,000 on Iraq at 43¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,344,500 on Iraq at 43¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,200 on Iraq at 42¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$23,139 on Iraq at 41¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$174,628 on France at 59¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$3,744 on France at 60¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,471 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$5,510 on France at 58¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,500 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,324 on Iraq at 43¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,570 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$4,060 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$38,225 on Iraq at 59¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,960 on France at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$30,000 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$9,846 on France at 58¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$2,000 on France at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,803 on France at 56¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

9d ago

$30,259 on France at 69¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

10d ago

$1,261 on France at 55¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

10d ago

$7,796 on Iraq at 46¢

Related Theses