Part of: Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino
Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Genoa tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Andrea Pellegrino, scheduled for September 9, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; recent smart-money alerts show a 96% winner signal favoring Andrea Pellegrino, with $34,126 in tracked smart-money activity. The listed resolution date is September 16, 2026, while the rules include a September 23 deadline if no winner has been determined.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,126.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner adds to Pellegrino
A highly successful serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Andrea Pellegrino position at 49%, despite the market now pricing Andrea near 40%.
- This bettor has won 86 of 90 resolved positions, earning $346,800 in profit while buying at average odds of 58%.
- The $5,000 trade adds to an existing $10,204 Andrea Pellegrino position, showing increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- Andrea is now priced near 40%, making the 49¢ entry a potentially substantial mispricing if the bettor's edge persists.
$5,000 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner backs Pellegrino
A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor is adding to Andrea Pellegrino alongside two coordinated wallets after a sharp market repricing.
- A bettor with a 96% win rate across 90 resolved positions is adding to Andrea Pellegrino despite the price falling to 28%.
- Three wallets committed $24,126 to Pellegrino, including a $15,126 effective bet against Valerio Aboian.
- The coordinated trades followed a 60x volume spike and a 16-point move toward Pellegrino.
$24,126 on Andrea Pellegrino
Whale adds to Pellegrino position
A $10,000 add-on to an existing Andrea Pellegrino position coincided with a massive volume spike and sharp upward price movement, though the wallet lacks a clearly superior historical win rate.
- This bettor added $10,000 to an existing Pellegrino position, bringing total exposure to nearly $30,000.
- Market activity surged to 756 times its recent average while Pellegrino moved to a 52% implied chance.
- The wallet has traded 65 resolved markets and is up $20,257, though its 57% win rate is not clearly above its typical entry odds.
$10,000 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 78852620, $10,204 (96% win rate)
- 0xed8e...7ec6 — Outcome 78852620, $4,464 (68% win rate)
- 0x8829...300c — Outcome 78852620, $2,000
- 0x71d2...4be6 — Outcome 78852620, $984 (85% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 78852620, $982 (93% win rate)
- 0x2461...f240 — Outcome 78852620, $627 (54% win rate)
- 0xc0eb...2c46 — Outcome 78852620, $401
- 0x13c4...4295 — Outcome 78852620, $208
- 0x4b27...0635 — Outcome 78852620, $200
- 0x00d1...ae39 — Outcome 78852620, $143 (61% win rate)
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