Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

This prediction market covers the May 25 MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $286,177 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including sharp interest on both the Phillies and Padres. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 25 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $523,280.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume, profitable sports bettor with a 66% win rate is buying Phillies, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 3,751 resolved bets and is up $27.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 32 sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • The Phillies entry was 55¢, but the market is now around 38¢, offering a much cheaper follow price.

$1,040 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfacing despite the low composite score because this is a high-volume sports bettor with strong lifetime profit and the Padres price has moved sharply in their favor since entry.

  • This bettor is up $858K lifetime across 198 resolved markets.
  • They have traded across 109 events with $2.6M in cross-market volume.
  • They bought Padres at 42¢ before the market moved to about 62¢.

$1,979 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 56%

99% winner on Phillies

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 99% track record bought Phillies at 50¢ alongside one-sided market flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up about $6.1M lifetime.
  • They bought Phillies at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
  • Three wallets are betting the same way, with $14.4K total on Phillies.

$3,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%

86% winner on Phillies

Sharp 86% lifetime sports bettor bought Phillies at 52¢ alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 713 resolved bets and is up $46K lifetime.
  • They bought Phillies at 52¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
  • Three wallets are all buying Phillies, with $14.4K of same-side flow and a 35.8x volume spike.

$3,464 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 86%

90% winner backing Padres

Sharp 90% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Padres, backed by a large same-direction cluster and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $135,729 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader across 65 events with the same 90% hit rate.
  • Four wallets have bought the Padres in the same direction for $178,143 total.

$1,117 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable whale backs Padres

A highly profitable sports whale made a $144k Padres buy while four wallets pushed the same side amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $3.27M lifetime across 475 resolved markets.
  • They placed a large $144k bet on the Padres at 49¢.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $178k total as volume spiked nearly 70x.

$143,909 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 58%

Sharp whales on underdog

A $128k coordinated Padres buy is led by highly profitable serial sports bettors, including one wallet up $15.6M and another with a 90% track record.

  • Three wallets put $128k on the Padres, far larger than the opposing Phillies flow.
  • The biggest buyer is up $15.6M lifetime across 1,375 resolved bets.
  • A second wallet wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $136k, adding credibility to the same side.

$128,318 on San Diego Padres

91% winner backing Phillies

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and over $1M lifetime profit bought Phillies at 52¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $1.03M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 180 events with the same 91% hit rate.
  • Market volume is surging 61.6x above normal before the game.

$3,350 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought the Padres at 49¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $498K lifetime.
  • They have bet across 108 events with a 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 49¢ means they are backing the Padres as a near-even-money value play.

$4,750 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 91%

82% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought $10.4k of Phillies at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $713k lifetime.
  • They have a long track record across 66 events and $632k in cross-market bets.
  • They bought $10.4k of Phillies at 52¢, suggesting clear confidence in a near-even matchup.

$10,400 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a San Diego Padres, $605,694 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xbddf...c684 Philadelphia Phillies, $355,554 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x9495...9a27 Philadelphia Phillies, $331,936 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xc807...c12b San Diego Padres, $293,693 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x1136...0c2e San Diego Padres, $120,000 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xf152...64aa Philadelphia Phillies, $75,000 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x3dfb...abaf San Diego Padres, $63,850 (56% win rate)
  8. 0xa710...23c4 Philadelphia Phillies, $50,000 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xefdd...017f San Diego Padres, $43,040 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xabb8...bba3 Philadelphia Phillies, $40,000 (47% win rate)

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

6dPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres$523,280 tracked17 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Philadelphia Phillies
65¢
San Diego Padres
36¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 25 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
3
26-27
Live
8
1-0, 2 out
SD
0
31-21
PHI -118SD -102O/U 7Polymarket: 65¢
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Weather
68° Mostly cloudy
Price History — “Philadelphia Phillies
75¢
57¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

3h ago

$1,040 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

55¢65¢10¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

3h ago

$1,979 on San Diego Padres at 42¢

42¢36¢6¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$3,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 50¢

50¢65¢15¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$3,464 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$1,117 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢36¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$143,909 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢36¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$128,318 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢36¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$3,350 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

5h ago

$4,750 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢36¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

5h ago

$10,400 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

7h ago

$1,734 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

8h ago

$1,648 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

10h ago

$1,450 on San Diego Padres at 47¢

47¢36¢11¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

4h ago

$28,664 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢65¢13¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

8h ago

$158,227 on San Diego Padres at 48¢

48¢36¢12¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

12h ago

$20,229 on San Diego Padres at 47¢

47¢36¢11¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

21h ago

$10,000 on San Diego Padres at 47¢

47¢36¢11¢

Related Theses